{"title":"揭示人工智能在农业中的意外后果:加强不确定性管理的网络分析和三相框架","authors":"Jad Jaber , Helmi Issa","doi":"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124209","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The agricultural sector has been a slow adopter of AI technologies, primarily due to concerns over the unpredictability of AI and the inherent uncertainties within the industry itself. This hesitation stems from the sector's reliance on complex, variable conditions that challenge the stability of AI solutions. The convergence of AI's unpredictability and agriculture's inherent uncertainty calls for a closer examination of the unintended consequences of AI decision-making in this domain. This research addresses such a dilemma by employing a netnography design to analyze 15 podcasts. The analysis identified three critical themes: predictive dissonance, techno-indecisiveness, and readiness deficit. This research makes three valuable contributions by pioneering an empirical investigation into the unintended consequences of AI in agriculture at the decision-making level, developing an AI concentric-nested ecosystem at the deployment level, and introducing a quantifiable scale graph that acts as a tangible assessment tool for AI's unintended consequences.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48454,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","volume":"218 ","pages":"Article 124209"},"PeriodicalIF":12.9000,"publicationDate":"2025-05-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Unraveling the unintended consequences of AI in agriculture: A netnographic analysis and tri-phasic framework for enhanced uncertainty management\",\"authors\":\"Jad Jaber , Helmi Issa\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124209\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><div>The agricultural sector has been a slow adopter of AI technologies, primarily due to concerns over the unpredictability of AI and the inherent uncertainties within the industry itself. This hesitation stems from the sector's reliance on complex, variable conditions that challenge the stability of AI solutions. The convergence of AI's unpredictability and agriculture's inherent uncertainty calls for a closer examination of the unintended consequences of AI decision-making in this domain. This research addresses such a dilemma by employing a netnography design to analyze 15 podcasts. The analysis identified three critical themes: predictive dissonance, techno-indecisiveness, and readiness deficit. This research makes three valuable contributions by pioneering an empirical investigation into the unintended consequences of AI in agriculture at the decision-making level, developing an AI concentric-nested ecosystem at the deployment level, and introducing a quantifiable scale graph that acts as a tangible assessment tool for AI's unintended consequences.</div></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":48454,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Technological Forecasting and Social Change\",\"volume\":\"218 \",\"pages\":\"Article 124209\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":12.9000,\"publicationDate\":\"2025-05-28\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Technological Forecasting and Social Change\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"91\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0040162525002409\",\"RegionNum\":1,\"RegionCategory\":\"管理学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"BUSINESS\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Technological Forecasting and Social Change","FirstCategoryId":"91","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0040162525002409","RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"BUSINESS","Score":null,"Total":0}
Unraveling the unintended consequences of AI in agriculture: A netnographic analysis and tri-phasic framework for enhanced uncertainty management
The agricultural sector has been a slow adopter of AI technologies, primarily due to concerns over the unpredictability of AI and the inherent uncertainties within the industry itself. This hesitation stems from the sector's reliance on complex, variable conditions that challenge the stability of AI solutions. The convergence of AI's unpredictability and agriculture's inherent uncertainty calls for a closer examination of the unintended consequences of AI decision-making in this domain. This research addresses such a dilemma by employing a netnography design to analyze 15 podcasts. The analysis identified three critical themes: predictive dissonance, techno-indecisiveness, and readiness deficit. This research makes three valuable contributions by pioneering an empirical investigation into the unintended consequences of AI in agriculture at the decision-making level, developing an AI concentric-nested ecosystem at the deployment level, and introducing a quantifiable scale graph that acts as a tangible assessment tool for AI's unintended consequences.
期刊介绍:
Technological Forecasting and Social Change is a prominent platform for individuals engaged in the methodology and application of technological forecasting and future studies as planning tools, exploring the interconnectedness of social, environmental, and technological factors.
In addition to serving as a key forum for these discussions, we offer numerous benefits for authors, including complimentary PDFs, a generous copyright policy, exclusive discounts on Elsevier publications, and more.