洞察整个欧洲马铃薯生产的潜力

Marloes P. van Loon , Seyyedmajid Alimagham , Isaac K. Abuley , Hendrik Boogaard , Dominika Boguszewska-Mańkowska , Jose I. Ruiz de Galarreta , Edwin H. Geling , Oleksii Kryvobok , Oleksandr Kryvoshein , Gorka Landeras , Natsumi Okuda , Bruno Parisi , Cezary Trawczyński , Krystyna Zarzyńska , Martin K. van Ittersum
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引用次数: 0

摘要

欧洲是一个重要的马铃薯生产国,在过去的几十年里,其面积大幅下降,产量却有所增加,但地区差异很大。本研究旨在通过分析产量、揭示产量差距(Yg)和评估解释雨养系统的实际(Ya)和潜在产量(Yw)的关键因素来描述当前欧洲马铃薯生产的特征;是的,用于灌溉系统)。我们选择了13个主要的马铃薯生产国,合计占欧洲马铃薯面积的90%。当地数据用于模拟Yw和Yp,而Ya则来自地方统计数据。在此基础上,利用氮素投入和作物水分有效性的边界线分析分析了影响产量的主要因素。结果表明,当产量提高到其潜力的80%时,欧洲马铃薯在目前面积上的产量可增加55%。东欧的潜在产量增幅最大(年增长率59%,马铃薯面积59%),其次是西欧(年增长率32%,马铃薯面积25%),北欧和南欧的增幅最小(年增长率43%和45%,种植面积相对较小,分别为9%和6%)。我们的分析显示,在东欧,氮的投入是一个限制因素,而在一些西欧国家,我们发现了大量的过度使用。在旱作条件下,在相对较少的马铃薯种植区,水分是主要的限制因素。在灌溉区,例如在南欧,接近Yp的灌溉用水需求很大,这变得越来越具有挑战性。这项研究的见解可用于指导整个欧洲马铃薯种植的未来发展和创新。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

Insights into the potential of potato production across Europe

Insights into the potential of potato production across Europe
Europe is an important potato producer, showing a strong decline in areas and increases in yield over the past decades, but with large regional differences. This study aims to characterise current European potato production by analysing yields, revealing yield gaps (Yg), and assessing key factors that explain actual (Ya) and potential yields (Yw, for rainfed systems; Yp, for irrigated systems). We selected 13 key potato producing countries, jointly accounting for 90​% of the European potato area. Local data were used to simulate Yw and Yp, while Ya was retrieved from sub-national statistics. Then, we analysed main factors affecting yields using boundary line analysis on nitrogen input and crop water availability. Results showed that European potato production on current acreage can increase by 55​% when yields would increase to 80​% of their potential. The largest potential production gains featured in eastern Europe (59​% Yg, 59​% of potato area), thereafter western Europe (32​% Yg, 25​% of potato area), and smallest gains in northern and southern Europe (43​% and 45​% Yg, with relatively small acreages of 9​% and 6​%, respectively). Our analysis revealed that nitrogen input was a limiting factor in eastern Europe, while we found substantial overuse in some western European countries. Under rainfed conditions, water was the main limiting factor in relatively few potato cultivation areas. In irrigated areas, e.g. in southern Europe, irrigation water requirements to approach Yp are large, which becomes increasingly challenging. Insights from this study can be used to guide future development and innovation in potato cultivation across Europe.
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