右翼选举成功与欧洲银行：来自2024年欧洲选举的证据

IF 3.1 2区经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS

Journal of Policy Modeling Pub Date : 2025-03-01 DOI:10.1016/j.jpolmod.2025.01.004

Markus Tiemann

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引用次数: 0

摘要

2024年欧洲选举的结果是，右翼政党在一些欧盟成员国获得了相当大的选票份额，这导致右翼在欧洲议会中的代表性得到巩固。本文评估了右翼选举行为对欧洲银行股价的影响，并使用事件研究方法产生证据，表明右翼政治成功倾向于在欧盟选举后的日子里推动负异常股票回报。因此，本文提出了右翼政治成功影响欧洲金融稳定的论点，因此也影响了欧洲的投资环境。

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Right-wing election success and European Banks: Evidence from the 2024 European Elections

As an outcome of the 2024 European elections, right-wing political parties have gained significant shares of votes in some EU member states, which has led to solidified right-wing representation in the European Parliament. This paper assesses the impact of the right-wing electoral behaviour on the stock price of European banks and uses event study methodology to produce evidence which suggests that right-wing political success tends to drive negative abnormal stock returns on the days succeeding the EU elections. As such, the paper delivers argumentation that right-wing political success impacts European financial stability and therefore also to the European investment environment.

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来源期刊

Journal of Policy Modeling ECONOMICS-

CiteScore

6.20

自引率

11.40%

发文量

期刊介绍： The Journal of Policy Modeling is published by Elsevier for the Society for Policy Modeling to provide a forum for analysis and debate concerning international policy issues. The journal addresses questions of critical import to the world community as a whole, and it focuses upon the economic, social, and political interdependencies between national and regional systems. This implies concern with international policies for the promotion of a better life for all human beings and, therefore, concentrates on improved methodological underpinnings for dealing with these problems.