Parveen Kumar , Geetam Tiwari , Sourabh Bikas Paul
{"title":"碰撞频率建模中的段长度优化:安全性能评估中的功率谱段长度评估","authors":"Parveen Kumar , Geetam Tiwari , Sourabh Bikas Paul","doi":"10.1016/j.aap.2025.108122","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Selecting an appropriate segment length is essential for road safety analysis, as it directly influences crash analysis accuracy, hazardous location identification, and safety performance evaluation. The traditional segmentation approaches rely on individual expertise or engineering judgment and often lack standardized metrics for evaluating segmentation performance. Therefore, this study expands the utilization of Spatial Frequency Domain Analysis (SFDA) based Power Spectral Segment Length (PSSL) in crash frequency modeling for predicting fatal crash occurrence. The power spectral analysis reveals that crash frequencies predominantly concentrate in low-frequency bands, which helps in determining the Power Spectral Percentage (PSP), a critical measure for evaluating segmentation performance. The Random Parameters Negative Binomial (RPNB) models are developed for six rural two-lane highways in order to evaluate the effectiveness of PSSL, accounting for unobserved heterogeneity in crash data. The study results indicate that PSSL-based segmentation consistently outperforms traditional segmentation methods, as demonstrated by Cumulative Residual (CURE) plots and Goodness-of-Fit statistics. Additionally, the study results show that roadside service areas, population density, minor access points, and heterogeneous traffic characteristics are the most significant predictors of fatal crashes across all highway types. Hence, this study provides an optimized, data-driven, and theoretically justified framework for segment length selection, which improves accuracy, reliability, and scalability in crash modeling and road assessment.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":6926,"journal":{"name":"Accident; analysis and prevention","volume":"219 ","pages":"Article 108122"},"PeriodicalIF":5.7000,"publicationDate":"2025-05-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Segment length optimization for crash frequency modelling: Evaluating power spectral segment length in safety performance assessment\",\"authors\":\"Parveen Kumar , Geetam Tiwari , Sourabh Bikas Paul\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.aap.2025.108122\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><div>Selecting an appropriate segment length is essential for road safety analysis, as it directly influences crash analysis accuracy, hazardous location identification, and safety performance evaluation. The traditional segmentation approaches rely on individual expertise or engineering judgment and often lack standardized metrics for evaluating segmentation performance. Therefore, this study expands the utilization of Spatial Frequency Domain Analysis (SFDA) based Power Spectral Segment Length (PSSL) in crash frequency modeling for predicting fatal crash occurrence. The power spectral analysis reveals that crash frequencies predominantly concentrate in low-frequency bands, which helps in determining the Power Spectral Percentage (PSP), a critical measure for evaluating segmentation performance. The Random Parameters Negative Binomial (RPNB) models are developed for six rural two-lane highways in order to evaluate the effectiveness of PSSL, accounting for unobserved heterogeneity in crash data. The study results indicate that PSSL-based segmentation consistently outperforms traditional segmentation methods, as demonstrated by Cumulative Residual (CURE) plots and Goodness-of-Fit statistics. Additionally, the study results show that roadside service areas, population density, minor access points, and heterogeneous traffic characteristics are the most significant predictors of fatal crashes across all highway types. Hence, this study provides an optimized, data-driven, and theoretically justified framework for segment length selection, which improves accuracy, reliability, and scalability in crash modeling and road assessment.</div></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":6926,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Accident; analysis and prevention\",\"volume\":\"219 \",\"pages\":\"Article 108122\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":5.7000,\"publicationDate\":\"2025-05-27\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Accident; analysis and prevention\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"5\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0001457525002088\",\"RegionNum\":1,\"RegionCategory\":\"工程技术\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"ERGONOMICS\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Accident; analysis and prevention","FirstCategoryId":"5","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0001457525002088","RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"ERGONOMICS","Score":null,"Total":0}
Segment length optimization for crash frequency modelling: Evaluating power spectral segment length in safety performance assessment
Selecting an appropriate segment length is essential for road safety analysis, as it directly influences crash analysis accuracy, hazardous location identification, and safety performance evaluation. The traditional segmentation approaches rely on individual expertise or engineering judgment and often lack standardized metrics for evaluating segmentation performance. Therefore, this study expands the utilization of Spatial Frequency Domain Analysis (SFDA) based Power Spectral Segment Length (PSSL) in crash frequency modeling for predicting fatal crash occurrence. The power spectral analysis reveals that crash frequencies predominantly concentrate in low-frequency bands, which helps in determining the Power Spectral Percentage (PSP), a critical measure for evaluating segmentation performance. The Random Parameters Negative Binomial (RPNB) models are developed for six rural two-lane highways in order to evaluate the effectiveness of PSSL, accounting for unobserved heterogeneity in crash data. The study results indicate that PSSL-based segmentation consistently outperforms traditional segmentation methods, as demonstrated by Cumulative Residual (CURE) plots and Goodness-of-Fit statistics. Additionally, the study results show that roadside service areas, population density, minor access points, and heterogeneous traffic characteristics are the most significant predictors of fatal crashes across all highway types. Hence, this study provides an optimized, data-driven, and theoretically justified framework for segment length selection, which improves accuracy, reliability, and scalability in crash modeling and road assessment.
期刊介绍:
Accident Analysis & Prevention provides wide coverage of the general areas relating to accidental injury and damage, including the pre-injury and immediate post-injury phases. Published papers deal with medical, legal, economic, educational, behavioral, theoretical or empirical aspects of transportation accidents, as well as with accidents at other sites. Selected topics within the scope of the Journal may include: studies of human, environmental and vehicular factors influencing the occurrence, type and severity of accidents and injury; the design, implementation and evaluation of countermeasures; biomechanics of impact and human tolerance limits to injury; modelling and statistical analysis of accident data; policy, planning and decision-making in safety.