2023年9月超强台风“索拉”及强台风“海葵”余波对香港的影响评估

IF 2.4 4区 地球科学 Q3 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES
Yuk Sing Lui, The Hong Kong Federation of Insurers, Andy Wang-chun Lai, Chun-wing Choy, Tsz-cheung Lee
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引用次数: 0

摘要

2023年9月初,香港受到9月1日至2日超强台风“绍拉”的猛烈袭击和9月7日至8日台风“海葵”残余引发的强暴雨的严重影响。鉴于这两次连续的极端天气在10天内对香港造成严重破坏的情况非常罕见,我们对这两次极端天气对香港造成的破坏和经济损失进行了影响评估。根据政府报告、媒体、调查和保险理赔的现有数据,9月1日至2日的超级台风“索拉”和9月7日至8日的破纪录暴雨造成的直接经济损失估计分别约为4.8亿港元和17.4亿港元。此外,还将“索拉”和2023年9月的破纪录暴雨的影响与香港近十年来主要发生的其他超级台风和黑色暴雨事件进行了比较,以供参考。值得注意的是,与2017年和2018年香港分别发出10号飓风信号的超级台风“天鸽”和“山竹”相比,2023年“绍拉”的整体影响小于“天鸽”和“山竹”。在暴雨事件方面,2023年9月7-8日的黑色暴雨事件的影响显著高于2014年3月和2020年6月的黑色暴雨事件。并简要讨论了这些超强台风和暴雨事件影响差异的可能归因因素。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Assessment of the impacts of Super Typhoon Saola and the record-breaking rainstorm due to the remnant of Severe Typhoon Haikui on Hong Kong in September 2023
In early September 2023, Hong Kong was severely impacted by the ferocious strike of Super Typhoon Saola on 1–2 September and the phenomenal rainstorm on 7–8 September triggered by the remnant of TC Haikui. Given the rarity of these two successive extreme weather events which wreaked havoc in Hong Kong within 10 days, impact assessment on the damage and economic loss in Hong Kong due to these two extreme events was conducted. Utilizing available data from government reports, media, surveys, and insurance claims, the direct economic losses incurred by Super Typhoon Saola on 1–2 September and the record-breaking rainstorm on 7–8 September were estimated to be around HK$0.48 billion and HK$1.74 billion respectively. Moreover, the impacts of Saola and the record-breaking rainstorm in September 2023 are compared with other super typhoons and Black Rainstorm events in Hong Kong mainly in the last decade for reference. It is noted that, when compared with the Super Typhoons Hato and Mangkhut which also necessitated the issuance of Hurricane Signal No. 10 in Hong Kong respectively in 2017 and 2018, the overall impact of Saola in 2023 was less than those of Hato and Mangkhut. In terms of rainstorm events, the impact of the Black Rainstorm event on 7–8 September 2023 was significantly higher than those of the Black Rainstorm events in March 2014 and June 2020. The possible attributing factors related to the differences in the impact of these super typhoon and rainstorm events were also briefly discussed.
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来源期刊
Tropical Cyclone Research and Review
Tropical Cyclone Research and Review METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES-
CiteScore
4.60
自引率
3.40%
发文量
184
审稿时长
30 weeks
期刊介绍: Tropical Cyclone Research and Review is an international journal focusing on tropical cyclone monitoring, forecasting, and research as well as associated hydrological effects and disaster risk reduction. This journal is edited and published by the ESCAP/WMO Typhoon Committee (TC) and the Shanghai Typhoon Institute of the China Meteorology Administration (STI/CMA). Contributions from all tropical cyclone basins are welcome. Scope of the journal includes: • Reviews of tropical cyclones exhibiting unusual characteristics or behavior or resulting in disastrous impacts on Typhoon Committee Members and other regional WMO bodies • Advances in applied and basic tropical cyclone research or technology to improve tropical cyclone forecasts and warnings • Basic theoretical studies of tropical cyclones • Event reports, compelling images, and topic review reports of tropical cyclones • Impacts, risk assessments, and risk management techniques related to tropical cyclones
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