Guoming Li , Weilin Yang , Zhuoran Kuang , Yefeng Cai , Jingsong You
{"title":"动脉粥样硬化性心血管疾病患者估计葡萄糖处理率与死亡风险的关系:来自NHANES 1999-2018的队列研究","authors":"Guoming Li , Weilin Yang , Zhuoran Kuang , Yefeng Cai , Jingsong You","doi":"10.1016/j.diabres.2025.112263","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Aim</h3><div>To investigate the association between estimated glucose disposal rate (eGDR) and mortality risk among patients with atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD).</div></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><div>NHANES (1999–2018) data were analyzed using weighted Cox regression and restricted cubic splines (RCS) to assess the association between eGDR and mortality. Improvement in predictive performance was evaluated. Subgroup, mediation, and sensitivity analyses were conducted.</div></div><div><h3>Results</h3><div>Among 4,425 ASCVD patients (67.40 % ≥60 years, 44.66 % female), 1,815 deaths (35.62 %) and 751 CVD deaths (18.48 %) occurred during a median follow-up of 6.9 years. Compared to the highest quartile, the lowest eGDR quartile had HRs of 2.13 and 2.06 for CVD and all-cause mortality, respectively. RCS demonstrated linearity (<em>P</em>-nonlinear > 0.05). Addition of eGDR improved the predictive performance for both CVD and all-cause mortality (<em>P</em> < 0.001), whereas other insulin resistance indicators did not yield comparable improvements. Diabetes status modified its association with CVD mortality (<em>P</em>-interaction = 0.029). Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio and estimated pulse wave velocity were key mediators.</div></div><div><h3>Conclusions</h3><div>Lower eGDR was associated with increased mortality risk in ASCVD, particularly among patients without diabetes. eGDR enhances mortality prediction and may serve as a prognostic marker in ASCVD.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":11249,"journal":{"name":"Diabetes research and clinical practice","volume":"225 ","pages":"Article 112263"},"PeriodicalIF":6.1000,"publicationDate":"2025-05-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Association of the estimated glucose disposal rate with and mortality risk in patients with atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease: A cohort study from the NHANES 1999–2018\",\"authors\":\"Guoming Li , Weilin Yang , Zhuoran Kuang , Yefeng Cai , Jingsong You\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.diabres.2025.112263\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><h3>Aim</h3><div>To investigate the association between estimated glucose disposal rate (eGDR) and mortality risk among patients with atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD).</div></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><div>NHANES (1999–2018) data were analyzed using weighted Cox regression and restricted cubic splines (RCS) to assess the association between eGDR and mortality. Improvement in predictive performance was evaluated. Subgroup, mediation, and sensitivity analyses were conducted.</div></div><div><h3>Results</h3><div>Among 4,425 ASCVD patients (67.40 % ≥60 years, 44.66 % female), 1,815 deaths (35.62 %) and 751 CVD deaths (18.48 %) occurred during a median follow-up of 6.9 years. Compared to the highest quartile, the lowest eGDR quartile had HRs of 2.13 and 2.06 for CVD and all-cause mortality, respectively. RCS demonstrated linearity (<em>P</em>-nonlinear > 0.05). Addition of eGDR improved the predictive performance for both CVD and all-cause mortality (<em>P</em> < 0.001), whereas other insulin resistance indicators did not yield comparable improvements. Diabetes status modified its association with CVD mortality (<em>P</em>-interaction = 0.029). Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio and estimated pulse wave velocity were key mediators.</div></div><div><h3>Conclusions</h3><div>Lower eGDR was associated with increased mortality risk in ASCVD, particularly among patients without diabetes. eGDR enhances mortality prediction and may serve as a prognostic marker in ASCVD.</div></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":11249,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Diabetes research and clinical practice\",\"volume\":\"225 \",\"pages\":\"Article 112263\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":6.1000,\"publicationDate\":\"2025-05-21\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Diabetes research and clinical practice\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"3\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0168822725002773\",\"RegionNum\":3,\"RegionCategory\":\"医学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"ENDOCRINOLOGY & METABOLISM\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Diabetes research and clinical practice","FirstCategoryId":"3","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0168822725002773","RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"ENDOCRINOLOGY & METABOLISM","Score":null,"Total":0}
Association of the estimated glucose disposal rate with and mortality risk in patients with atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease: A cohort study from the NHANES 1999–2018
Aim
To investigate the association between estimated glucose disposal rate (eGDR) and mortality risk among patients with atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD).
Methods
NHANES (1999–2018) data were analyzed using weighted Cox regression and restricted cubic splines (RCS) to assess the association between eGDR and mortality. Improvement in predictive performance was evaluated. Subgroup, mediation, and sensitivity analyses were conducted.
Results
Among 4,425 ASCVD patients (67.40 % ≥60 years, 44.66 % female), 1,815 deaths (35.62 %) and 751 CVD deaths (18.48 %) occurred during a median follow-up of 6.9 years. Compared to the highest quartile, the lowest eGDR quartile had HRs of 2.13 and 2.06 for CVD and all-cause mortality, respectively. RCS demonstrated linearity (P-nonlinear > 0.05). Addition of eGDR improved the predictive performance for both CVD and all-cause mortality (P < 0.001), whereas other insulin resistance indicators did not yield comparable improvements. Diabetes status modified its association with CVD mortality (P-interaction = 0.029). Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio and estimated pulse wave velocity were key mediators.
Conclusions
Lower eGDR was associated with increased mortality risk in ASCVD, particularly among patients without diabetes. eGDR enhances mortality prediction and may serve as a prognostic marker in ASCVD.
期刊介绍:
Diabetes Research and Clinical Practice is an international journal for health-care providers and clinically oriented researchers that publishes high-quality original research articles and expert reviews in diabetes and related areas. The role of the journal is to provide a venue for dissemination of knowledge and discussion of topics related to diabetes clinical research and patient care. Topics of focus include translational science, genetics, immunology, nutrition, psychosocial research, epidemiology, prevention, socio-economic research, complications, new treatments, technologies and therapy.