灾害风险模糊下的资本再配置与可持续增长

IF 4.2 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS
Yanming Yao , Yuan Tian
{"title":"灾害风险模糊下的资本再配置与可持续增长","authors":"Yanming Yao ,&nbsp;Yuan Tian","doi":"10.1016/j.econmod.2025.107136","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>We formulate a two-sector general equilibrium model that incorporates capital reallocation and ambiguity aversion to disaster risk under recursive utility. We demonstrate how capital distribution between green and brown sectors influences endogenous investment, growth rate, risk-free rate, and uncertainty premium. Moreover, we reveal that ambiguity aversion to disaster risk accelerates capital reallocation, thus explaining the rapid green transformation during the ambiguous circumstances. Furthermore, we find that although the marginal growth rate associated with capital reallocation decreases at the sectoral level, it increases at the aggregate level, implying that capital reallocation contributes to sustainable growth. Our findings also reveal that the disaster uncertainty premium, comprising disaster risk premium and ambiguity premium, is additive even though the utility is not.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48419,"journal":{"name":"Economic Modelling","volume":"151 ","pages":"Article 107136"},"PeriodicalIF":4.2000,"publicationDate":"2025-05-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Capital reallocation and sustainable growth with ambiguity to disaster risk\",\"authors\":\"Yanming Yao ,&nbsp;Yuan Tian\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.econmod.2025.107136\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><div>We formulate a two-sector general equilibrium model that incorporates capital reallocation and ambiguity aversion to disaster risk under recursive utility. We demonstrate how capital distribution between green and brown sectors influences endogenous investment, growth rate, risk-free rate, and uncertainty premium. Moreover, we reveal that ambiguity aversion to disaster risk accelerates capital reallocation, thus explaining the rapid green transformation during the ambiguous circumstances. Furthermore, we find that although the marginal growth rate associated with capital reallocation decreases at the sectoral level, it increases at the aggregate level, implying that capital reallocation contributes to sustainable growth. Our findings also reveal that the disaster uncertainty premium, comprising disaster risk premium and ambiguity premium, is additive even though the utility is not.</div></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":48419,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Economic Modelling\",\"volume\":\"151 \",\"pages\":\"Article 107136\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":4.2000,\"publicationDate\":\"2025-05-22\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Economic Modelling\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"96\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0264999325001312\",\"RegionNum\":2,\"RegionCategory\":\"经济学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"ECONOMICS\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Economic Modelling","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0264999325001312","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"ECONOMICS","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0

摘要

在递归效用下,我们建立了一个包含资本再分配和对灾害风险的模糊规避的两部门一般均衡模型。我们论证了绿色和棕色行业之间的资本分配如何影响内生投资、增长率、无风险利率和不确定性溢价。此外,我们发现对灾害风险的模糊厌恶加速了资本的重新配置,从而解释了在模糊环境下快速的绿色转型。此外,我们发现,尽管与资本再配置相关的边际增长率在部门水平上下降,但在总量水平上上升,这意味着资本再配置有助于可持续增长。我们的研究结果还表明,灾害不确定性溢价,包括灾害风险溢价和模糊性溢价,是可加的,即使效用不是。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Capital reallocation and sustainable growth with ambiguity to disaster risk
We formulate a two-sector general equilibrium model that incorporates capital reallocation and ambiguity aversion to disaster risk under recursive utility. We demonstrate how capital distribution between green and brown sectors influences endogenous investment, growth rate, risk-free rate, and uncertainty premium. Moreover, we reveal that ambiguity aversion to disaster risk accelerates capital reallocation, thus explaining the rapid green transformation during the ambiguous circumstances. Furthermore, we find that although the marginal growth rate associated with capital reallocation decreases at the sectoral level, it increases at the aggregate level, implying that capital reallocation contributes to sustainable growth. Our findings also reveal that the disaster uncertainty premium, comprising disaster risk premium and ambiguity premium, is additive even though the utility is not.
求助全文
通过发布文献求助,成功后即可免费获取论文全文。 去求助
来源期刊
Economic Modelling
Economic Modelling ECONOMICS-
CiteScore
8.00
自引率
10.60%
发文量
295
期刊介绍: Economic Modelling fills a major gap in the economics literature, providing a single source of both theoretical and applied papers on economic modelling. The journal prime objective is to provide an international review of the state-of-the-art in economic modelling. Economic Modelling publishes the complete versions of many large-scale models of industrially advanced economies which have been developed for policy analysis. Examples are the Bank of England Model and the US Federal Reserve Board Model which had hitherto been unpublished. As individual models are revised and updated, the journal publishes subsequent papers dealing with these revisions, so keeping its readers as up to date as possible.
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
确定
请完成安全验证×
copy
已复制链接
快去分享给好友吧!
我知道了
右上角分享
点击右上角分享
0
联系我们:info@booksci.cn Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。 Copyright © 2023 布克学术 All rights reserved.
京ICP备2023020795号-1
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:481959085
Book学术官方微信