Working Memory Predicts Long-Term Recognition of Auditory Sequences: Dissociation Between Confirmed Predictions and Prediction Errors.

Memory is a crucial cognitive process involving several subsystems: sensory memory (SM), short-term memory (STM), working memory (WM), and long-term memory (LTM). While each has been extensively studied, the interaction between subsystems, particularly in relation to predicting temporal sequences, remains largely unexplored. This study investigates the association between WM and LTM, and how these relate to aging and musical training. Using three datasets with a total of 243 healthy volunteers across various age groups, we examined the impact of WM, age, and musical training on LTM recognition of novel and previously memorized musical sequences. Our results show that WM abilities are positively associated with the identification of novel sequences, but not with the recognition of memorized sequences. Additionally, musical training has a similar positive impact on the identification of novel sequences, while increasing age is associated with reduced memory performance. Different cognitive processes are involved in handling prediction errors compared to confirmatory predictions, and WM contributes to these processes differently. Future research should extend our investigation to populations with memory impairments and explore the underlying neural substrates.