Lauryn M Cooper, Janet A Grimes, Akaterina M Davros
{"title":"短头性风险(BRisk)评分对主要术后并发症的可预测性因接受短头性阻塞性气道手术的品种而异。","authors":"Lauryn M Cooper, Janet A Grimes, Akaterina M Davros","doi":"10.2460/javma.25.03.0145","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Objective: </strong>To assess the validity of the brachycephalic risk (BRisk) score to correctly predict the risk of complications in dogs undergoing surgery for brachycephalic obstructive airway syndrome (BOAS).</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>Medical records from January 1, 2020, to December 31, 2024, were retrospectively reviewed. Variables for the BRisk score were collected, and scores were assigned. Area under the curve (AUC) was calculated for the ability of the BRisk score to correctly predict major postoperative complications (oxygen required for > 48 hours, temporary tracheostomy, permanent tracheostomy, and/or death).</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>228 brachycephalic dogs undergoing BOAS surgery were included, of which 29 dogs (12.7%) had major postoperative complications. The median BRisk score for all dogs was 3.5 (range, 0.5 to 9.5). Dogs with a score > 3 were 3.0 times more likely to have major postoperative complications (OR, 3.0; 95% CI, 1.2 to 7.3) compared to dogs with scores ≤ 3. The AUC of the BRisk score for predicting major postoperative complications was 0.719 (95% CI, 0.620 to 0.819). The AUC for French and English Bulldogs was 0.667 (95% CI, 0.527 to 0.806) and 0.754 (95% CI, 0.556 to 0.953), respectively. For breeds other than French or English Bulldog, the AUC was 0.882 (95% CI, 0.757 to 1.000).</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>The BRisk score had acceptable performance in this population. Performance varied by breed and was worst for French Bulldogs.</p><p><strong>Clinical relevance: </strong>The BRisk score had acceptable performance in this external validation group. A breed-specific BRisk score with excellent to outstanding discrimination may better identify dogs at risk for major postoperative complications following BOAS surgery.</p>","PeriodicalId":14658,"journal":{"name":"Javma-journal of The American Veterinary Medical Association","volume":" ","pages":"1-6"},"PeriodicalIF":1.6000,"publicationDate":"2025-05-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"The brachycephalic risk (BRisk) score's predictability for major postoperative complications varies between breeds undergoing brachycephalic obstructive airway surgery.\",\"authors\":\"Lauryn M Cooper, Janet A Grimes, Akaterina M Davros\",\"doi\":\"10.2460/javma.25.03.0145\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<p><strong>Objective: </strong>To assess the validity of the brachycephalic risk (BRisk) score to correctly predict the risk of complications in dogs undergoing surgery for brachycephalic obstructive airway syndrome (BOAS).</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>Medical records from January 1, 2020, to December 31, 2024, were retrospectively reviewed. Variables for the BRisk score were collected, and scores were assigned. Area under the curve (AUC) was calculated for the ability of the BRisk score to correctly predict major postoperative complications (oxygen required for > 48 hours, temporary tracheostomy, permanent tracheostomy, and/or death).</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>228 brachycephalic dogs undergoing BOAS surgery were included, of which 29 dogs (12.7%) had major postoperative complications. The median BRisk score for all dogs was 3.5 (range, 0.5 to 9.5). Dogs with a score > 3 were 3.0 times more likely to have major postoperative complications (OR, 3.0; 95% CI, 1.2 to 7.3) compared to dogs with scores ≤ 3. The AUC of the BRisk score for predicting major postoperative complications was 0.719 (95% CI, 0.620 to 0.819). The AUC for French and English Bulldogs was 0.667 (95% CI, 0.527 to 0.806) and 0.754 (95% CI, 0.556 to 0.953), respectively. For breeds other than French or English Bulldog, the AUC was 0.882 (95% CI, 0.757 to 1.000).</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>The BRisk score had acceptable performance in this population. Performance varied by breed and was worst for French Bulldogs.</p><p><strong>Clinical relevance: </strong>The BRisk score had acceptable performance in this external validation group. A breed-specific BRisk score with excellent to outstanding discrimination may better identify dogs at risk for major postoperative complications following BOAS surgery.</p>\",\"PeriodicalId\":14658,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Javma-journal of The American Veterinary Medical Association\",\"volume\":\" \",\"pages\":\"1-6\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":1.6000,\"publicationDate\":\"2025-05-21\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Javma-journal of The American Veterinary Medical Association\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"97\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.2460/javma.25.03.0145\",\"RegionNum\":2,\"RegionCategory\":\"农林科学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q2\",\"JCRName\":\"VETERINARY SCIENCES\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Javma-journal of The American Veterinary Medical Association","FirstCategoryId":"97","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.2460/javma.25.03.0145","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"VETERINARY SCIENCES","Score":null,"Total":0}
The brachycephalic risk (BRisk) score's predictability for major postoperative complications varies between breeds undergoing brachycephalic obstructive airway surgery.
Objective: To assess the validity of the brachycephalic risk (BRisk) score to correctly predict the risk of complications in dogs undergoing surgery for brachycephalic obstructive airway syndrome (BOAS).
Methods: Medical records from January 1, 2020, to December 31, 2024, were retrospectively reviewed. Variables for the BRisk score were collected, and scores were assigned. Area under the curve (AUC) was calculated for the ability of the BRisk score to correctly predict major postoperative complications (oxygen required for > 48 hours, temporary tracheostomy, permanent tracheostomy, and/or death).
Results: 228 brachycephalic dogs undergoing BOAS surgery were included, of which 29 dogs (12.7%) had major postoperative complications. The median BRisk score for all dogs was 3.5 (range, 0.5 to 9.5). Dogs with a score > 3 were 3.0 times more likely to have major postoperative complications (OR, 3.0; 95% CI, 1.2 to 7.3) compared to dogs with scores ≤ 3. The AUC of the BRisk score for predicting major postoperative complications was 0.719 (95% CI, 0.620 to 0.819). The AUC for French and English Bulldogs was 0.667 (95% CI, 0.527 to 0.806) and 0.754 (95% CI, 0.556 to 0.953), respectively. For breeds other than French or English Bulldog, the AUC was 0.882 (95% CI, 0.757 to 1.000).
Conclusions: The BRisk score had acceptable performance in this population. Performance varied by breed and was worst for French Bulldogs.
Clinical relevance: The BRisk score had acceptable performance in this external validation group. A breed-specific BRisk score with excellent to outstanding discrimination may better identify dogs at risk for major postoperative complications following BOAS surgery.
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