Issa Alnajjar, Baraa Alshakarnah, Tasneem AbuShaikha, Tareq Jarrar, Abed Al-Raheem Ozrail, Yousef Abu Asbeh
{"title":"评估人工智能预测单门胸腔镜胸膜胸肿患者住院时间的能力:一项回顾性观察研究。","authors":"Issa Alnajjar, Baraa Alshakarnah, Tasneem AbuShaikha, Tareq Jarrar, Abed Al-Raheem Ozrail, Yousef Abu Asbeh","doi":"10.1186/s12893-025-02959-w","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>This retrospective observational research evaluates the potential applicability of artificial intelligence models to predict the length of hospital stay for patients with pleural empyema who underwent uniportal video-assisted thoracoscopic surgery.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>Data from 56 patients were analyzed using two artificial intelligence models. A Random Forest Regressor, the initial model, was trained using clinical data unique to each patient. Weighted factors from evidence-based research were incorporated into the second model, which was created using a prediction approach informed by the literature.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>The two models tested showed poor prediction accuracy. The first one had a mean absolute error of 4.56 days and a negative R<sup>2</sup> value. The literature-informed model performed similarly, with a mean absolute error of 4.53 days and an R<sup>2</sup> below zero.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>While artificial intelligence holds promise in supporting clinical decision-making, this study demonstrates the challenges of predicting length of stay in pleural empyema patients due to significant clinical variability and the current limitations of AI-based models. Future research should focus on integrating larger, multi-center datasets and more advanced machine learning approaches to enhance predictive accuracy.</p>","PeriodicalId":49229,"journal":{"name":"BMC Surgery","volume":"25 1","pages":"218"},"PeriodicalIF":1.6000,"publicationDate":"2025-05-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12087185/pdf/","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Assessing artificial intelligence ability in predicting hospitalization duration for pleural empyema patients managed with uniportal video-assisted thoracoscopic surgery: a retrospective observational study.\",\"authors\":\"Issa Alnajjar, Baraa Alshakarnah, Tasneem AbuShaikha, Tareq Jarrar, Abed Al-Raheem Ozrail, Yousef Abu Asbeh\",\"doi\":\"10.1186/s12893-025-02959-w\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<p><strong>Background: </strong>This retrospective observational research evaluates the potential applicability of artificial intelligence models to predict the length of hospital stay for patients with pleural empyema who underwent uniportal video-assisted thoracoscopic surgery.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>Data from 56 patients were analyzed using two artificial intelligence models. A Random Forest Regressor, the initial model, was trained using clinical data unique to each patient. Weighted factors from evidence-based research were incorporated into the second model, which was created using a prediction approach informed by the literature.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>The two models tested showed poor prediction accuracy. The first one had a mean absolute error of 4.56 days and a negative R<sup>2</sup> value. The literature-informed model performed similarly, with a mean absolute error of 4.53 days and an R<sup>2</sup> below zero.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>While artificial intelligence holds promise in supporting clinical decision-making, this study demonstrates the challenges of predicting length of stay in pleural empyema patients due to significant clinical variability and the current limitations of AI-based models. Future research should focus on integrating larger, multi-center datasets and more advanced machine learning approaches to enhance predictive accuracy.</p>\",\"PeriodicalId\":49229,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"BMC Surgery\",\"volume\":\"25 1\",\"pages\":\"218\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":1.6000,\"publicationDate\":\"2025-05-19\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12087185/pdf/\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"BMC Surgery\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"3\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1186/s12893-025-02959-w\",\"RegionNum\":3,\"RegionCategory\":\"医学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q2\",\"JCRName\":\"SURGERY\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"BMC Surgery","FirstCategoryId":"3","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1186/s12893-025-02959-w","RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"SURGERY","Score":null,"Total":0}
Assessing artificial intelligence ability in predicting hospitalization duration for pleural empyema patients managed with uniportal video-assisted thoracoscopic surgery: a retrospective observational study.
Background: This retrospective observational research evaluates the potential applicability of artificial intelligence models to predict the length of hospital stay for patients with pleural empyema who underwent uniportal video-assisted thoracoscopic surgery.
Methods: Data from 56 patients were analyzed using two artificial intelligence models. A Random Forest Regressor, the initial model, was trained using clinical data unique to each patient. Weighted factors from evidence-based research were incorporated into the second model, which was created using a prediction approach informed by the literature.
Results: The two models tested showed poor prediction accuracy. The first one had a mean absolute error of 4.56 days and a negative R2 value. The literature-informed model performed similarly, with a mean absolute error of 4.53 days and an R2 below zero.
Conclusions: While artificial intelligence holds promise in supporting clinical decision-making, this study demonstrates the challenges of predicting length of stay in pleural empyema patients due to significant clinical variability and the current limitations of AI-based models. Future research should focus on integrating larger, multi-center datasets and more advanced machine learning approaches to enhance predictive accuracy.