对美国625起涉及枪支的大规模谋杀案中枪支合法性和杀伤力的分析。

Russell T Rogers, Hannah Hesson, Sloan E Bergstresser, Paul S Appelbaum, Gary Brucato, Ragy R Girgis
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摘要

了解枪支管制与涉及枪支的大规模谋杀的致命性之间的关系对预防工作具有重要意义。我们调查了1900年至2023年间发生在美国的625起涉及枪支的大规模谋杀事件。监管措施的严格程度是基于2010年吉福兹防止枪支暴力法律中心提供的排名。在检查仅使用半自动/全自动、仅使用非自动或两种射击方法的事件时,我们发现死亡率有显著差异(p = 0.019),主要是由于使用两种类型武器的事件相关的高死亡率。在高调控州,人均事件数明显少于低调控州(M = 0.118, SD = 0.059, p = 0.002) (M = 0.070, SD = 0.044)。大多数事件涉及的枪支都是合法获得的(64%)。大规模谋杀中使用的枪支的法律地位与死亡人数有很大关系。研究发现,造成这一现象的主要原因是,与所有枪支都合法获得的事件相关的死亡人数高于与至少一种枪支非法获得的事件相关的死亡人数。联邦攻击性武器禁令到期后,涉及枪支的大规模谋杀的人均事件和死亡率显著提高。这些数据支持枪支管制与涉及枪支的大规模谋杀发生率之间的关系,这或许意味着有效的预防至少在一定程度上是一个自上而下的过程。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
An analysis of firearm legality and lethality in 625 U.S.-based mass murders involving firearms.

Understanding the relationship between firearm regulations and the lethality of mass murder involving firearms has implications for prevention efforts. We examined 625 incidents of mass murder involving firearms that occurred in the United States between 1900 and 2023. The stringency of regulatory practices was based on the 2010 rankings provided by the Giffords Law Center to Prevent Gun Violence. We identified a significant difference in fatalities when examining events in which firearms with only semi-/fully automatic, only non-automatic, or both firing methods were used (p = 0.019), primarily driven by high-fatality rates associated with events in which both types of weapons were used. In high-regulation states, there were significantly fewer events per capita (M = 0.070, SD = 0.044) relative to low-regulation states (M = 0.118, SD = 0.059, p = 0.002). Most events involved firearms that were exclusively acquired legally (64%). The legal status of firearms used in mass murders was significantly associated with fatalities. This was found to be driven primarily by fatalities associated with events in which all firearms were legally acquired being higher than those associated with events in which at least one firearm was illegally acquired. Per capita event and fatality rates of mass murder involving firearms were significantly higher after the Federal Assault Weapons Ban expired. These data support a relationship between firearm regulation and the incidence of mass murder involving firearms, perhaps implying that effective prevention can at least partially be a top-down process.

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