2018-2023年印度疾病综合监测规划报告的人畜共患疾病暴发:国家监测数据的横断面分析

IF 5 Q1 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES
Mogan Kaviprawin , Mohankumar Raju , Manikandanesan Sakthivel , Archana Ramalingam
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引用次数: 0

摘要

及时分析人畜共患疫情监测数据对于评估疫情检测和报告系统的有效性至关重要,这是全球卫生安全的一个优先事项。我们描述了2018年至2023年印度综合疾病监测计划(IDSP)下通报的人畜共患疾病暴发,以确定时间趋势和空间变化。方法通过查阅IDSP每周暴发报告中的人畜共患疾病暴发线清单数据,并按年度、地区和报告及时性进行分析,进行横断面研究。我们进行了混合泊松回归来估计多年来疫情的变化(β系数),并在R软件中绘制了可视化地图。在IDSP报告的6948次暴发中,583次(8.3%)为人畜共患病,平均每月暴发7次。近年来疫情显著增加(β系数= 0.07[0.02-0.12])。在人畜共患病暴发中,日本脑炎占29.5%,钩端螺旋体病占18.7%,恙虫病占13.9%。其中,东北地区占总数的35.8%,其次是南部地区(31.7%)和西部地区(15.4%)。三分之一(34.6%)的疫情报告较晚,并且逐年下降(2019年为52.6%,2021年为40.9%,2023年为5.2%)。97.2%已通报的人畜共患病暴发无法获得后续报告。我们记录了在印度国家级疫情监测系统下人畜共患疾病暴发高通报的地区。发现了每周疫情报告中的重大漏洞,特别是缺乏后续文件。为了解决这些差距,我们建议在热点地区加强针对特定疾病的监测系统。本研究未获资助。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Zoonotic disease outbreaks reported under India's Integrated Disease Surveillance Programme, 2018–2023: a cross-sectional analysis of national surveillance data

Background

Timely analysis of zoonotic outbreak surveillance data is critical for assessing the effectiveness of outbreak detection and reporting systems, a priority for global health security. We described the zoonotic disease outbreaks notified under the Integrated Disease Surveillance Program (IDSP) in India between 2018 and 2023 to identify temporal trends and spatial variation.

Methods

We conducted a cross-sectional study by reviewing zoonotic disease outbreak line-list data from IDSP weekly outbreak reports and analyzed by year, region, and timeliness of reporting. We conducted a mixed Poisson regression to estimate the change (β coefficient) in outbreaks over the years and visualized maps in R software.

Findings

Of the 6948 outbreaks reported in IDSP, 583 (8.3%) were zoonotic, with a median of seven monthly zoonotic outbreaks. Outbreaks significantly increased over the years (β coefficient = 0.07 [0.02–0.12]). Japanese encephalitis accounted for 29.5% of zoonotic outbreaks, followed by leptospirosis (18.7%) and scrub typhus (13.9%). The northeast region contributed 35.8% of zoonotic disease outbreaks, followed by the southern (31.7%) and western regions (15.4%). One-third (34.6%) of outbreaks were reported late, and they declined over the years (52.6% in 2019, 40.9% in 2021, and 5.2% in 2023). The follow-up reports were unavailable for 97.2% of zoonotic outbreaks notified.

Interpretation

We documented the regions with high notification of zoonotic disease outbreaks under India's national-level outbreak surveillance system. Critical gaps in weekly outbreak reports were identified, particularly the lack of follow-up documentation. To address these gaps, we recommend strengthening disease-specific surveillance systems in hotspot regions.

Funding

The present study is non-funded.
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