二元分类中高度关联模糊搅拌模式的可解释性

IF 3 4区 计算机科学 Q2 COMPUTER SCIENCE, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE
Expert Systems Pub Date : 2025-05-19 DOI:10.1111/exsy.70066
D. Y. C. Wang, Lars Arne Jordanger, Jerry Chun-Wei Lin
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引用次数: 0

摘要

客户流失,尤其是在电信行业,会影响成本和利润。随着模型的可解释性变得越来越重要,本研究不仅强调了通过机器学习模型解释客户流失的可解释性,还强调了识别多元模式和为直观解释设置软边界的重要性。主要目标是使用带有top-k HUIM的机器学习模型和模糊集理论,通过直观识别识别高度相关的客户流失模式,称为高度相关模糊流失模式(HAFCP)。此外,该方法有助于发现跨低、中、高分布的多个特征之间的关联规则。这些发现有助于提高发现的可解释性。实验表明,当将前5名hafcp包含在5个数据集中时,可以观察到混合的性能结果,其中一些显示出显着的改进。很明显,高重要性特征通过与其他特征相关联的分布和模式增强了解释力。因此,该研究引入了一种创新的方法,提高了客户流失预测模型的可解释性和有效性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Explainability of Highly Associated Fuzzy Churn Patterns in Binary Classification

Customer churn, particularly in the telecommunications sector, influences both costs and profits. As the explainability of models becomes increasingly important, this study emphasises not only the explainability of customer churn through machine learning models, but also the importance of identifying multivariate patterns and setting soft bounds for intuitive interpretation. The main objective is to use a machine learning model and fuzzy-set theory with top-k HUIM to identify highly associated patterns of customer churn with intuitive identification, referred to as Highly Associated Fuzzy Churn Patterns (HAFCP). Moreover, this method aids in uncovering association rules among multiple features across low, medium, and high distributions. Such discoveries are instrumental in enhancing the explainability of findings. Experiments show that when the top-5 HAFCPs are included in five datasets, a mixture of performance results is observed, with some showing notable improvements. It becomes clear that high importance features enhance explanatory power through their distribution and patterns associated with other features. As a result, the study introduces an innovative approach that improves the explainability and effectiveness of customer churn prediction models.

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来源期刊
Expert Systems
Expert Systems 工程技术-计算机:理论方法
CiteScore
7.40
自引率
6.10%
发文量
266
审稿时长
24 months
期刊介绍: Expert Systems: The Journal of Knowledge Engineering publishes papers dealing with all aspects of knowledge engineering, including individual methods and techniques in knowledge acquisition and representation, and their application in the construction of systems – including expert systems – based thereon. Detailed scientific evaluation is an essential part of any paper. As well as traditional application areas, such as Software and Requirements Engineering, Human-Computer Interaction, and Artificial Intelligence, we are aiming at the new and growing markets for these technologies, such as Business, Economy, Market Research, and Medical and Health Care. The shift towards this new focus will be marked by a series of special issues covering hot and emergent topics.
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