印度尼西亚Bangka Belitung核电站选址的多种决策方法与GIS的集成

IF 6 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, MULTIDISCIPLINARY
Mohammad Ali Shafii , Dian Fitriyani , Mulda Muldarisnur , Reza Nugraha , Agil Chairulloh , Ade Gafar Abdullah , Rida Siti Nur’aini Mahmudah
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引用次数: 0

摘要

当一个国家决定建造核电站(NPP)时,核电站的选址往往是决策者争论的话题。对核电站选址的研究往往集中在单一的方法上,这些方法可能无法对问题的复杂性提供全面的视角。由于核电厂选址涉及到考虑不同因素的不同标准,本研究将各种多标准决策(MCDM)方法与地理信息系统(GIS)相结合。本研究中使用的MCDM方法是最佳-最差方法(BWM)、数据包络分析(DEA)、理想解相似性排序偏好技术(TOPSIS)和灰色关联分析(GRA)。本研究以国际原子能机构的标准为基础,采用了九项标准来确定印度尼西亚邦加勿里洞省合适的核电站厂址。该过程从BWM方法开始,该方法确定每个已识别标准的权重。候选站点使用加权GIS覆盖进行评估,以确定最合适的站点。然后使用DEA方法来衡量这些入围站点的效率。然后使用TOPSIS对网站的排名进行评估,并将结果与GRA进行比较以验证一致性。最后,进行敏感性分析,以评估结果对权重和标准变化的响应性,确保最终建议的稳健性。结果表明,该省只有约1.78%的地区最适合建设核电站,东勿里洞的明打越被确定为最有希望的地点。通过敏感性分析证实了结果的有效性,结果显示出稳定的估值。将多种决策方法与GIS相结合,提供了一个新的视角,拓宽了对核电厂选址影响标准动态的理解。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Integration of multiple decision-making methods with GIS for nuclear power plants siting in Bangka Belitung, Indonesia
Nuclear power plant (NPP) siting is often a topic of debate among decision-makers when a country decides to build such facilities. Research on NPP site selection frequently focuses on single methodologies that may not provide a comprehensive perspective on the issue’s complexity. Since NPP site selection involves considering different criteria from various factors, this study offers the integration of various Multi-Criteria Decision-Making (MCDM) methods with Geographic Information Systems (GIS). The MCDM methods used in this study are the Best-Worst Method (BWM), Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA), Technique for Order Preference by Similarity to the Ideal Solution (TOPSIS), and Grey Relational Analysis (GRA). This study uses nine criteria based on the IAEA standards to determine the suitable NPP site in Bangka Belitung Province, Indonesia. The process begins with the BWM method, which determines the weight of each identified criterion. The candidate sites are evaluated using a weighted GIS overlay to identify the most suitable sites. The DEA method is then used to measure the efficiency of these shortlisted sites. The rankings of the sites are then evaluated using TOPSIS, and the results are compared with the GRA to validate consistency. Finally, a sensitivity analysis is performed to assess the responsiveness of the results to variations in the weights and criteria, ensuring the robustness of the final recommendations. The results show that only about 1.78% of the province’s area is most suitable for NPPs, with Mentawak in East Belitung being identified as the most promising site. The validity of the results was confirmed by sensitivity analysis, which showed stable valuations. The integration of multiple methods of decision-making with GIS provides a new perspective and broadens the understanding of the dynamics of influential criteria in NPP siting.
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来源期刊
Ain Shams Engineering Journal
Ain Shams Engineering Journal Engineering-General Engineering
CiteScore
10.80
自引率
13.30%
发文量
441
审稿时长
49 weeks
期刊介绍: in Shams Engineering Journal is an international journal devoted to publication of peer reviewed original high-quality research papers and review papers in both traditional topics and those of emerging science and technology. Areas of both theoretical and fundamental interest as well as those concerning industrial applications, emerging instrumental techniques and those which have some practical application to an aspect of human endeavor, such as the preservation of the environment, health, waste disposal are welcome. The overall focus is on original and rigorous scientific research results which have generic significance. Ain Shams Engineering Journal focuses upon aspects of mechanical engineering, electrical engineering, civil engineering, chemical engineering, petroleum engineering, environmental engineering, architectural and urban planning engineering. Papers in which knowledge from other disciplines is integrated with engineering are especially welcome like nanotechnology, material sciences, and computational methods as well as applied basic sciences: engineering mathematics, physics and chemistry.
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