{"title":"在随机试验中室外温度作为血压的混杂因素","authors":"Doug Brugge , Misha Eliasziw , Amy Mertl , Sharly Palma , Chermaine Morson , Teresa Vazquez-Dodero , Warren Goldstein-Gelb , Anil Gurcan , Sangita Kunwar , Hunter Gates , Scott Oakley Hersey , Francesca Majluf , Wig Zamore","doi":"10.1016/j.scitotenv.2025.179683","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Background</h3><div>Temperature is a time varying factor that is associated with blood pressure and has the potential to be a confounder in randomized crossover trials.</div></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><div>We assessed the effect of temperature on blood pressure within the Home Air Filtration for Traffic-Related Air Pollution study, a randomized crossover trial of air purifiers in homes. We assessed the association of blood pressure with both outdoor and indoor temperatures using 190 paired blood pressure measurements that were not affected by the presence of air purifiers in the preceding month.</div></div><div><h3>Results</h3><div>Mean (standard error) peripheral systolic blood pressure was observed to change by +0.24 (0.09) mmHg per 1 °F colder outdoor temperature and by −0.28 (0.07) mmHg per 1 °F warmer (<em>P</em> < 0.001). Results were similar, although somewhat smaller for peripheral diastolic blood pressure. Associations were nearly identical for central blood pressures. We found much smaller effects for indoor temperatures, none of which approached statistical significance, as indoor temperatures were more stable and did not change as much over the study period.</div></div><div><h3>Conclusions</h3><div>Despite the cooling and warming of outdoor temperatures being associated with increases and decreases in blood pressure, we believe that outdoor temperature may also be a surrogate marker of particulate matter air pollution. Regardless of the underlying mechanism, randomized trials using blood pressure as outcomes would be well advised to measure temperature and consider it a potential time-varying confounder in the analyses.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":422,"journal":{"name":"Science of the Total Environment","volume":"982 ","pages":"Article 179683"},"PeriodicalIF":8.2000,"publicationDate":"2025-05-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Outdoor temperature as a confounder of blood pressure in randomized trials\",\"authors\":\"Doug Brugge , Misha Eliasziw , Amy Mertl , Sharly Palma , Chermaine Morson , Teresa Vazquez-Dodero , Warren Goldstein-Gelb , Anil Gurcan , Sangita Kunwar , Hunter Gates , Scott Oakley Hersey , Francesca Majluf , Wig Zamore\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.scitotenv.2025.179683\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><h3>Background</h3><div>Temperature is a time varying factor that is associated with blood pressure and has the potential to be a confounder in randomized crossover trials.</div></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><div>We assessed the effect of temperature on blood pressure within the Home Air Filtration for Traffic-Related Air Pollution study, a randomized crossover trial of air purifiers in homes. We assessed the association of blood pressure with both outdoor and indoor temperatures using 190 paired blood pressure measurements that were not affected by the presence of air purifiers in the preceding month.</div></div><div><h3>Results</h3><div>Mean (standard error) peripheral systolic blood pressure was observed to change by +0.24 (0.09) mmHg per 1 °F colder outdoor temperature and by −0.28 (0.07) mmHg per 1 °F warmer (<em>P</em> < 0.001). Results were similar, although somewhat smaller for peripheral diastolic blood pressure. Associations were nearly identical for central blood pressures. We found much smaller effects for indoor temperatures, none of which approached statistical significance, as indoor temperatures were more stable and did not change as much over the study period.</div></div><div><h3>Conclusions</h3><div>Despite the cooling and warming of outdoor temperatures being associated with increases and decreases in blood pressure, we believe that outdoor temperature may also be a surrogate marker of particulate matter air pollution. Regardless of the underlying mechanism, randomized trials using blood pressure as outcomes would be well advised to measure temperature and consider it a potential time-varying confounder in the analyses.</div></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":422,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Science of the Total Environment\",\"volume\":\"982 \",\"pages\":\"Article 179683\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":8.2000,\"publicationDate\":\"2025-05-17\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Science of the Total Environment\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"93\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0048969725013245\",\"RegionNum\":1,\"RegionCategory\":\"环境科学与生态学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Science of the Total Environment","FirstCategoryId":"93","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0048969725013245","RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES","Score":null,"Total":0}
Outdoor temperature as a confounder of blood pressure in randomized trials
Background
Temperature is a time varying factor that is associated with blood pressure and has the potential to be a confounder in randomized crossover trials.
Methods
We assessed the effect of temperature on blood pressure within the Home Air Filtration for Traffic-Related Air Pollution study, a randomized crossover trial of air purifiers in homes. We assessed the association of blood pressure with both outdoor and indoor temperatures using 190 paired blood pressure measurements that were not affected by the presence of air purifiers in the preceding month.
Results
Mean (standard error) peripheral systolic blood pressure was observed to change by +0.24 (0.09) mmHg per 1 °F colder outdoor temperature and by −0.28 (0.07) mmHg per 1 °F warmer (P < 0.001). Results were similar, although somewhat smaller for peripheral diastolic blood pressure. Associations were nearly identical for central blood pressures. We found much smaller effects for indoor temperatures, none of which approached statistical significance, as indoor temperatures were more stable and did not change as much over the study period.
Conclusions
Despite the cooling and warming of outdoor temperatures being associated with increases and decreases in blood pressure, we believe that outdoor temperature may also be a surrogate marker of particulate matter air pollution. Regardless of the underlying mechanism, randomized trials using blood pressure as outcomes would be well advised to measure temperature and consider it a potential time-varying confounder in the analyses.
期刊介绍:
The Science of the Total Environment is an international journal dedicated to scientific research on the environment and its interaction with humanity. It covers a wide range of disciplines and seeks to publish innovative, hypothesis-driven, and impactful research that explores the entire environment, including the atmosphere, lithosphere, hydrosphere, biosphere, and anthroposphere.
The journal's updated Aims & Scope emphasizes the importance of interdisciplinary environmental research with broad impact. Priority is given to studies that advance fundamental understanding and explore the interconnectedness of multiple environmental spheres. Field studies are preferred, while laboratory experiments must demonstrate significant methodological advancements or mechanistic insights with direct relevance to the environment.