家庭潜在电力需求：揭示电力供应对印度东部比哈尔邦电器购置和使用的影响

IF 9.3 2区经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS

Energy Policy Pub Date : 2025-05-16 DOI:10.1016/j.enpol.2025.114664

Eshita Gupta , Damini Thakur , Gaurav Mukherjee

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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究的重点是量化潜在需求，如果向比哈尔邦的住宅消费者提供24 × 7的电力供应，将会体现出来。随着电力供应、电气化年限、财富指标和其他一些社会经济因素的影响，年用电量呈上升趋势。为了估计短期和长期潜在电力需求，采用条件期望修正法估计了两阶段离散-连续模型。我们的研究结果显示，在上述改善电力供应后，家庭住宅用电量在短期内平均增加17%（275千瓦时），在长期内平均增加29%（448千瓦时）。决策者可以利用这些知识做出明智的决定，以满足比哈尔邦日益增长的能源需求，提高其民众的生活水平。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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Latent electricity demand for households: Unveiling the impact of power supply on appliance acquisition and usage in Bihar, Eastern India

This study focuses on quantifying the latent demand that would manifest if 24x7 power supply were provided to residential consumers in Bihar. Annual electricity consumption exhibits an increasing trend with power supply, years of electrification, wealth indicators, and several other socio-economic factors. To estimate latent electricity demand in the short-run and long-run, a two-stage discrete-continuous model is estimated using the conditional expectation correction method. Our findings indicate that household residential electricity consumption on average would rise by 17% (275 kWh) in the short-run and 29% (448 kWh) in the long-run following the aforementioned enhancement in power supply. Policymakers can leverage this knowledge to make informed decisions to meet the growing energy needs of Bihar and uplift the living standards of its populace.

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来源期刊

Energy Policy 管理科学-环境科学

CiteScore

17.30

自引率

5.60%

发文量

540

审稿时长

7.9 months

期刊介绍： Energy policy is the manner in which a given entity (often governmental) has decided to address issues of energy development including energy conversion, distribution and use as well as reduction of greenhouse gas emissions in order to contribute to climate change mitigation. The attributes of energy policy may include legislation, international treaties, incentives to investment, guidelines for energy conservation, taxation and other public policy techniques. Energy policy is closely related to climate change policy because totalled worldwide the energy sector emits more greenhouse gas than other sectors.