认知效应异质性的两组流行病模型。

IF 2.6 4区 工程技术 Q1 Mathematics
Zehan Liu, Daoxin Qiu, Shengqiang Liu
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在新型传染病暴发期间,媒体信息和医疗资源在形成疾病传播动态方面发挥着至关重要的作用。为了研究媒体信息和有限医疗资源对疾病传播的综合影响,我们提出了一个两组间室模型。该模型根据接收信息的能力将人群分为两组。我们推导了基本繁殖数,分析了无病平衡的局部稳定性,并考察了疾病灭绝或持续发生的条件。在控制策略方面,我们探索了有限媒体资源约束下的恒定控制和最优控制方法。数值模拟表明,提高人群对媒体和医疗资源的反应能力有助于降低感染率。该模型还表现出复杂的动力学行为,如向后分岔、向前向后分岔和同斜分岔,这给疾病控制带来了重大挑战。此外,我们对最优控制问题进行了数值模拟,以验证和支持我们的理论发现。在持续控制的情况下,随着两种人口之间的差距扩大,媒体资源应越来越多地分配给对信息不敏感的群体。为了实现最优控制,我们采用了正向向后扫描方法,随着种群异质性的增加,媒体资源越来越多地分配给信息不敏感的群体。本研究为优化媒体驱动的公共卫生传播策略建立了一个实证框架,为跨异质人群的有限媒体资源战略配置提供了重要见解。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
A two-group epidemic model with heterogeneity in cognitive effects.

During the outbreak of new infectious diseases, media information and medical resources play crucial roles in shaping the dynamics of disease transmission. To investigate the combined impact of media information and limited medical resources on disease spread, we proposed a two-group compartmental model. This model divided the population into two groups based on their ability to receive information. We derived the basic reproduction number, analyzed the local stability of the disease-free equilibrium, and examined the conditions under which disease extinction or persistence occured. For control strategies, we explored both constant and optimal control approaches under the constraint of limited media resources. Numerical simulations indicated that enhancing the population's responsiveness to media and medical resources helped reduce the infection rate. The model also exhibited complex dynamical behaviors, such as backward bifurcation, forward-backward bifurcation, and homoclinic bifurcation, which presented significant challenges for disease control. Furthermore, we conducted numerical simulations of the optimal control problem to validate and support our theoretical findings. In the case of constant control, as the disparity between the two populations increases, media resources should be increasingly allocated to the information-insensitive group. For optimal control, we employed the forward-backward sweep method, where media resources were increasingly allocated to information-insensitive groups as population heterogeneity rises. This study established an empirical framework for optimizing media-driven public health communication strategies, offering critical insights into the strategic allocation of limited media resources across heterogeneous populations.

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来源期刊
Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering
Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering 工程技术-数学跨学科应用
CiteScore
3.90
自引率
7.70%
发文量
586
审稿时长
>12 weeks
期刊介绍: Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering (MBE) is an interdisciplinary Open Access journal promoting cutting-edge research, technology transfer and knowledge translation about complex data and information processing. MBE publishes Research articles (long and original research); Communications (short and novel research); Expository papers; Technology Transfer and Knowledge Translation reports (description of new technologies and products); Announcements and Industrial Progress and News (announcements and even advertisement, including major conferences).
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