公共卫生政策采纳的行为量化——以COVID-19期间非药物措施为例

IF 2.6 4区工程技术 Q1 Mathematics

Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering Pub Date : 2025-03-10 DOI:10.3934/mbe.2025033

Rhiannon Loster, Sarah Smook, Lia Humphrey, David Lyver, Zahra Mohammadi, Edward W Thommes, Monica G Cojocaru

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引用次数: 0

摘要

在这项工作中，我们估计了2020年加拿大安大略省采用非药物干预措施及其对COVID-19疾病传播的影响。利用可免费获得的数据，我们估计了34个公共卫生单位安大略人在遵守国家行动计划时的感知感染风险和个人不适。利用博弈论，我们对每个公共卫生区域的决策过程进行了时间序列建模，以提取2020年3月至12月npi采用水平的估计。结合安大略省的易感暴露-恢复-隔离区隔模型，我们能够估计全省范围内npi的有效性水平。最后但并非最不重要的是，我们通过将其应用于美国宾夕法尼亚州和佐治亚州来展示该模型的多功能性。

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Behaviour quantification of public health policy adoption - the case of non-pharmaceutical measures during COVID-19.

In this work, we provide estimates of non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) adoption and its effects on the COVID-19 disease transmission across the province of Ontario, Canada, in 2020. Using freely available data, we estimate perceived risks of infection and a personal discomfort with complying with NPIs for Ontarians across 34 public health units. With the use of game theory, we model a time series of decision making processes in each public health region to extract an estimate of the adoption level of NPIs from March to December 2020. In conjunction with a susceptible-exposed-recovered-isolated compartmental model for Ontario, we are able to estimate a province-wide effectiveness level of NPIs. Last but not least, we show the model's versatility by applying it to Pennsylvania and Georgia in the United States.

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来源期刊

Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering 工程技术-数学跨学科应用

CiteScore

3.90

自引率

7.70%

发文量

586

审稿时长

>12 weeks

期刊介绍： Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering (MBE) is an interdisciplinary Open Access journal promoting cutting-edge research, technology transfer and knowledge translation about complex data and information processing. MBE publishes Research articles (long and original research); Communications (short and novel research); Expository papers; Technology Transfer and Knowledge Translation reports (description of new technologies and products); Announcements and Industrial Progress and News (announcements and even advertisement, including major conferences).