Ahmed Cihad Genç, Ensar Özmen, Deniz Çekiç, Kubilay İşsever, Fevziye Türkoğlu Genç, Ahmed Bilal Genç, Aysel Toçoğlu, Yusuf Durmaz, Hüseyin Özkök, Selçuk Yaylacı
{"title":"综合分析:利用机器学习模型预测内科重症监护病房的死亡率。","authors":"Ahmed Cihad Genç, Ensar Özmen, Deniz Çekiç, Kubilay İşsever, Fevziye Türkoğlu Genç, Ahmed Bilal Genç, Aysel Toçoğlu, Yusuf Durmaz, Hüseyin Özkök, Selçuk Yaylacı","doi":"10.1177/10815589251335327","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Mortality prediction in the intensive care unit (ICU) is essential in patient management. Emerging methods such as machine learning (ML) can be employed to predict ICU patients' mortality. Patients receiving treatment in the ICU of the internal medicine department were subjected to ML analysis upon admission, considering demographic, laboratory, and medical scores. Data from 787 internal medicine ICU patients were analyzed, with only a subset (220) included in the study for the 30-day mortality prediction model. The performance of boosting and Logistic Regression models in mortality prediction was compared. Categorical boosting (CatBoost) achieved the highest area under the curve (AUC) of 0.90, while extreme gradient boosting reached a maximum AUC of 0.85, and Logistic Regression attained the highest AUC of 0.83. Incorporating Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II, Simplified Acute Physiology Score II, and Sequential Organ Failure Assessment scores with clinical and laboratory values, CatBoost demonstrated the strongest predictive performance with high sensitivity and specificity. In the ICU of the internal medicine department, it was concluded that the ML models successfully predict mortality.</p>","PeriodicalId":16112,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Investigative Medicine","volume":" ","pages":"10815589251335327"},"PeriodicalIF":2.5000,"publicationDate":"2025-04-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Comprehensive analyses: Using machine learning models for mortality prediction in the intensive care unit of internal medicine.\",\"authors\":\"Ahmed Cihad Genç, Ensar Özmen, Deniz Çekiç, Kubilay İşsever, Fevziye Türkoğlu Genç, Ahmed Bilal Genç, Aysel Toçoğlu, Yusuf Durmaz, Hüseyin Özkök, Selçuk Yaylacı\",\"doi\":\"10.1177/10815589251335327\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<p><p>Mortality prediction in the intensive care unit (ICU) is essential in patient management. Emerging methods such as machine learning (ML) can be employed to predict ICU patients' mortality. Patients receiving treatment in the ICU of the internal medicine department were subjected to ML analysis upon admission, considering demographic, laboratory, and medical scores. Data from 787 internal medicine ICU patients were analyzed, with only a subset (220) included in the study for the 30-day mortality prediction model. The performance of boosting and Logistic Regression models in mortality prediction was compared. Categorical boosting (CatBoost) achieved the highest area under the curve (AUC) of 0.90, while extreme gradient boosting reached a maximum AUC of 0.85, and Logistic Regression attained the highest AUC of 0.83. Incorporating Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II, Simplified Acute Physiology Score II, and Sequential Organ Failure Assessment scores with clinical and laboratory values, CatBoost demonstrated the strongest predictive performance with high sensitivity and specificity. In the ICU of the internal medicine department, it was concluded that the ML models successfully predict mortality.</p>\",\"PeriodicalId\":16112,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Journal of Investigative Medicine\",\"volume\":\" \",\"pages\":\"10815589251335327\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":2.5000,\"publicationDate\":\"2025-04-09\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Journal of Investigative Medicine\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"3\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1177/10815589251335327\",\"RegionNum\":4,\"RegionCategory\":\"医学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"MEDICINE, GENERAL & INTERNAL\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Journal of Investigative Medicine","FirstCategoryId":"3","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1177/10815589251335327","RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"MEDICINE, GENERAL & INTERNAL","Score":null,"Total":0}
Comprehensive analyses: Using machine learning models for mortality prediction in the intensive care unit of internal medicine.
Mortality prediction in the intensive care unit (ICU) is essential in patient management. Emerging methods such as machine learning (ML) can be employed to predict ICU patients' mortality. Patients receiving treatment in the ICU of the internal medicine department were subjected to ML analysis upon admission, considering demographic, laboratory, and medical scores. Data from 787 internal medicine ICU patients were analyzed, with only a subset (220) included in the study for the 30-day mortality prediction model. The performance of boosting and Logistic Regression models in mortality prediction was compared. Categorical boosting (CatBoost) achieved the highest area under the curve (AUC) of 0.90, while extreme gradient boosting reached a maximum AUC of 0.85, and Logistic Regression attained the highest AUC of 0.83. Incorporating Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II, Simplified Acute Physiology Score II, and Sequential Organ Failure Assessment scores with clinical and laboratory values, CatBoost demonstrated the strongest predictive performance with high sensitivity and specificity. In the ICU of the internal medicine department, it was concluded that the ML models successfully predict mortality.
期刊介绍:
Journal of Investigative Medicine (JIM) is the official publication of the American Federation for Medical Research. The journal is peer-reviewed and publishes high-quality original articles and reviews in the areas of basic, clinical, and translational medical research.
JIM publishes on all topics and specialty areas that are critical to the conduct of the entire spectrum of biomedical research: from the translation of clinical observations at the bedside, to basic and animal research to clinical research and the implementation of innovative medical care.