{"title":"混合风险的多视角工艺安全风险评估。","authors":"Tahere Vafaee, M A S Monfared","doi":"10.1111/risa.70028","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>In this paper, we assert that the process safety risks vary based on the identity of the stakeholders involved, for example, employees, management, regulators, community members, insurance companies, and environment. These risks differ in perceptions, magnitudes, and ramifications across an array of stakeholders. Hence, the process safety risk assessment taken from a single perspective, as is often the case, is inadequate and perhaps misleading. Instead, a more realistic approach is a multi-perspective risk assessment by considering the interactions existing among different perspectives and by building concurrent and compatible models explicitly. This marks the first innovation of the current research work. The second innovation centers on the hybrid nature of risk analysis. We recognize the distinction between safety risks impacting human well-being and risks affecting facilities, properties, capital assets, and the environment. The research introduces a hybrid safety-facility risk assessment to address different types of risks. Still, developing multiple models to represent hybrid risks from different perspectives is complex, time-consuming, tedious, and very costly. In addition, results from multiple models may become incompatible, confusing the stakeholders. To avoid such difficulties, a comprehensive model is developed initially, which, while impractical itself, allows for the extraction of practical perspective-based models through reduction. The methodology was illustrated and validated by examining a city gas pressure reduction station from 12 different perspectives, illustrating different risk results and highlighting the necessity of a multi-perspective and hybrid risk approach for accurate process safety risk analysis. However, the methodology is widely applicable across different risk assessment areas, not limited to the process safety of a city gate station (CGS). Furthermore, the twelve perspectives considered are specific to the context of the CGS case in a suburb of Tehran and may vary in other situations. By incorporating these practices, organizations can ensure a more comprehensive, inclusive, and accurate assessment of process safety risks, ultimately leading to better risk management and decision-making.</p>","PeriodicalId":21472,"journal":{"name":"Risk Analysis","volume":" ","pages":"2521-2547"},"PeriodicalIF":3.3000,"publicationDate":"2025-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"A multi-perspective process safety risk assessment with hybrid risks.\",\"authors\":\"Tahere Vafaee, M A S Monfared\",\"doi\":\"10.1111/risa.70028\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<p><p>In this paper, we assert that the process safety risks vary based on the identity of the stakeholders involved, for example, employees, management, regulators, community members, insurance companies, and environment. These risks differ in perceptions, magnitudes, and ramifications across an array of stakeholders. Hence, the process safety risk assessment taken from a single perspective, as is often the case, is inadequate and perhaps misleading. Instead, a more realistic approach is a multi-perspective risk assessment by considering the interactions existing among different perspectives and by building concurrent and compatible models explicitly. This marks the first innovation of the current research work. The second innovation centers on the hybrid nature of risk analysis. We recognize the distinction between safety risks impacting human well-being and risks affecting facilities, properties, capital assets, and the environment. The research introduces a hybrid safety-facility risk assessment to address different types of risks. Still, developing multiple models to represent hybrid risks from different perspectives is complex, time-consuming, tedious, and very costly. In addition, results from multiple models may become incompatible, confusing the stakeholders. To avoid such difficulties, a comprehensive model is developed initially, which, while impractical itself, allows for the extraction of practical perspective-based models through reduction. The methodology was illustrated and validated by examining a city gas pressure reduction station from 12 different perspectives, illustrating different risk results and highlighting the necessity of a multi-perspective and hybrid risk approach for accurate process safety risk analysis. However, the methodology is widely applicable across different risk assessment areas, not limited to the process safety of a city gate station (CGS). Furthermore, the twelve perspectives considered are specific to the context of the CGS case in a suburb of Tehran and may vary in other situations. By incorporating these practices, organizations can ensure a more comprehensive, inclusive, and accurate assessment of process safety risks, ultimately leading to better risk management and decision-making.</p>\",\"PeriodicalId\":21472,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Risk Analysis\",\"volume\":\" \",\"pages\":\"2521-2547\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":3.3000,\"publicationDate\":\"2025-09-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Risk Analysis\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"3\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1111/risa.70028\",\"RegionNum\":3,\"RegionCategory\":\"医学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"2025/4/18 0:00:00\",\"PubModel\":\"Epub\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Risk Analysis","FirstCategoryId":"3","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1111/risa.70028","RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"2025/4/18 0:00:00","PubModel":"Epub","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS","Score":null,"Total":0}
A multi-perspective process safety risk assessment with hybrid risks.
In this paper, we assert that the process safety risks vary based on the identity of the stakeholders involved, for example, employees, management, regulators, community members, insurance companies, and environment. These risks differ in perceptions, magnitudes, and ramifications across an array of stakeholders. Hence, the process safety risk assessment taken from a single perspective, as is often the case, is inadequate and perhaps misleading. Instead, a more realistic approach is a multi-perspective risk assessment by considering the interactions existing among different perspectives and by building concurrent and compatible models explicitly. This marks the first innovation of the current research work. The second innovation centers on the hybrid nature of risk analysis. We recognize the distinction between safety risks impacting human well-being and risks affecting facilities, properties, capital assets, and the environment. The research introduces a hybrid safety-facility risk assessment to address different types of risks. Still, developing multiple models to represent hybrid risks from different perspectives is complex, time-consuming, tedious, and very costly. In addition, results from multiple models may become incompatible, confusing the stakeholders. To avoid such difficulties, a comprehensive model is developed initially, which, while impractical itself, allows for the extraction of practical perspective-based models through reduction. The methodology was illustrated and validated by examining a city gas pressure reduction station from 12 different perspectives, illustrating different risk results and highlighting the necessity of a multi-perspective and hybrid risk approach for accurate process safety risk analysis. However, the methodology is widely applicable across different risk assessment areas, not limited to the process safety of a city gate station (CGS). Furthermore, the twelve perspectives considered are specific to the context of the CGS case in a suburb of Tehran and may vary in other situations. By incorporating these practices, organizations can ensure a more comprehensive, inclusive, and accurate assessment of process safety risks, ultimately leading to better risk management and decision-making.
期刊介绍:
Published on behalf of the Society for Risk Analysis, Risk Analysis is ranked among the top 10 journals in the ISI Journal Citation Reports under the social sciences, mathematical methods category, and provides a focal point for new developments in the field of risk analysis. This international peer-reviewed journal is committed to publishing critical empirical research and commentaries dealing with risk issues. The topics covered include:
• Human health and safety risks
• Microbial risks
• Engineering
• Mathematical modeling
• Risk characterization
• Risk communication
• Risk management and decision-making
• Risk perception, acceptability, and ethics
• Laws and regulatory policy
• Ecological risks.