Weak Identification Robust Tests for Subvectors Using Implied Probabilities.

This paper develops tests for hypotheses concerning subvectors of parameters in models defined by moment conditions. It is well known that conventional tests such as Wald, Likelihood-ratio and Score tests tend to over-reject when the identification is weak. To prevent uncontrolled size distortion and introduce refined finite-sample performance, we extend the projection-based test to a modified version of the score test using implied probabilities obtained by information theoretic criteria. Our test is performed in two steps, where the first step reduces the space of parameter candidates, while the second one involves the modified score test mentioned earlier. We derive the asymptotic properties of this procedure for the entire class of Generalized Empirical Likelihood implied probabilities. Simulations show that the test has very good finite-sample size and power. Finally, we apply our approach to the veteran earnings and find a negative impact of the veteran status.