从原因到后果:从气候变化的角度审视阿拉伯联合酋长国2024年4月历史性的暴雨

IF 8.5 1区 地球科学 Q1 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES
Diana Francis, Ricardo Fonseca, Narendra Nelli, Charfeddine Cherif, Yesobu Yarragunta, George Zittis, Andries Jan de Vries
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引用次数: 0

摘要

2024年4月,阿拉伯联合酋长国经历了前所未有的降雨,引发了严重的洪水和广泛的破坏。本文探讨了人为气候变化的驱动机制、局部影响以及对这一异常事件的潜在影响。我们的研究结果强烈表明,人为气候变化正在放大像2024年4月16日那样的极端事件的频率。这一事件主要是由一个潜在的涡度流与一个活跃的红海槽、一个强大的高空急流和来自温暖的阿拉伯海的温暖、潮湿的空气平流的相互作用所推动的。高分辨率卫星数据揭示了城市化、人口密度和主要城市洪水影响的严重程度之间的明确联系,以及持续到夏季的沙漠显着绿化。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

From cause to consequence: examining the historic April 2024 rainstorm in the United Arab Emirates through the lens of climate change

From cause to consequence: examining the historic April 2024 rainstorm in the United Arab Emirates through the lens of climate change

In April 2024, the United Arab Emirates experienced unprecedented rainfall, triggering severe flooding and widespread disruption. Here we investigate the driving mechanisms, localized impacts, and potential influence of human-driven climate change on this extraordinary event. Our findings strongly suggest that anthropogenic climate change is amplifying the frequency of extreme events like that of 16 April 2024. The event was primarily fueled by the interaction of a potential vorticity streamer with an active Red Sea Trough, a powerful upper-level jet, and the advection of warm, moisture-laden air from a warmer Arabian Sea. High-resolution satellite data reveal a clear link between urbanization, population density, and the severity of flood impacts in major cities, alongside a remarkable greening of the desert that lingered into the summer months.

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来源期刊
npj Climate and Atmospheric Science
npj Climate and Atmospheric Science Earth and Planetary Sciences-Atmospheric Science
CiteScore
8.80
自引率
3.30%
发文量
87
审稿时长
21 weeks
期刊介绍: npj Climate and Atmospheric Science is an open-access journal encompassing the relevant physical, chemical, and biological aspects of atmospheric and climate science. The journal places particular emphasis on regional studies that unveil new insights into specific localities, including examinations of local atmospheric composition, such as aerosols. The range of topics covered by the journal includes climate dynamics, climate variability, weather and climate prediction, climate change, ocean dynamics, weather extremes, air pollution, atmospheric chemistry (including aerosols), the hydrological cycle, and atmosphere–ocean and atmosphere–land interactions. The journal welcomes studies employing a diverse array of methods, including numerical and statistical modeling, the development and application of in situ observational techniques, remote sensing, and the development or evaluation of new reanalyses.
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