利用FY-3E MWTS-3辐射数据改进“23.07”暴雨模拟

IF 2.9 3区 地球科学 Q2 ASTRONOMY & ASTROPHYSICS
Shengjie Zhu, Deqin Li, Shibo Gao, Qian Xie, Xiao Pan
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引用次数: 0

摘要

风云- 3e (FY-3E)卫星,在2021年7月5日发射,装备第三代微波温度探测器(MWTS-3)。利用MWTS-3的两个窗口通道构建云探测模块,并在天气研究与预报模式(WRF)中实现对MWTS-3晴空辐射数据的高效同化。为了评估同化MWTS-3辐射对极端降水天气预报的影响,以2023年7月29日至8月2日发生在华北地区的一次大暴雨为例进行了分析。同化MWTS-3辐射数据后,位势高度场调整,导致西太平洋副热带高压向西北移动,天气系统向东调整。同化MWTS-3资料的预报降低了气温、纬向风和经向风的均方根误差,预报期前33小时100-400 hPa水平的温度预报技能有明显提高。模式模拟更成功地再现了位于北京西南部的6小时最大降水中心。15mm阈值以上的降水预报能力也有所提高。此外,同化MWTS-3资料后,北京地区的水汽输送和垂直运动条件有所改善,这可能是降水预报性能增强的原因之一。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Improving “23.07” Heavy Rainstorm Simulation Through Assimilating FY-3E MWTS-3 Radiance Data

FengYun-3E (FY-3E) satellite, launched on 5 July 2021, is equipped with the third-generation Microwave Temperature Sounder (MWTS-3). Two window channels of MWTS-3 are used to build a cloud detection module, and efficient assimilation of MWTS-3 clear-sky radiance data is implemented in the Weather Research and Forecasting Model (WRF). To assess the influence of assimilating MWTS-3 radiances on extreme precipitation weather forecasting, a heavy rainstorm event that occurred in North China from 29 July to 2 August 2023, has been selected. After assimilating MWTS-3 radiance data, the geopotential height field adjusted, leading to a northwestward shift of the Western Pacific Subtropical High as well as an eastward adjustment of the weather system. The forecasts with assimilated MWTS-3 data reduced the root mean square error of temperature, zonal wind, and meridional wind, with clear improvements in temperature forecast skill at the 100–400 hPa levels within the first 33 hr of the forecast period. The 6–hr maximum rainfall center located southwest of Beijing was more successfully reproduced in the model simulation. Additionally, the precipitation forecast skill above the threshold of 15 mm was improved. Moreover, the water vapor transport and vertical motion conditions in Beijing has improved after assimilating MWTS-3 data, which are likely to be contributing factors to the enhancements in the precipitation forecasting performance.

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来源期刊
Earth and Space Science
Earth and Space Science Earth and Planetary Sciences-General Earth and Planetary Sciences
CiteScore
5.50
自引率
3.20%
发文量
285
审稿时长
19 weeks
期刊介绍: Marking AGU’s second new open access journal in the last 12 months, Earth and Space Science is the only journal that reflects the expansive range of science represented by AGU’s 62,000 members, including all of the Earth, planetary, and space sciences, and related fields in environmental science, geoengineering, space engineering, and biogeochemistry.
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