基于贝叶斯知识识别算法的轨道交通运维故障识别分析

Yanyan Zhang
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在高速铁路发展的背景下,轨道交通运维管理是列车日常运行的一项重要任务。目前,列车调度是轨道交通系统中最常见的故障表现形式。调度过程中故障源的检测与识别具有不确定性,受主客观因素的干扰。本文采用统计分析的方法,考察了列车调度结构和运行过程中故障事件的发生情况。本研究将贝叶斯网络结构与相关算法相结合,计算运维过程中故障的发生与诊断。通过对故障发生概率分析和识别方法的对比分析,发现网络节点故障事件的后验概率最高,为90.34%,比先验知识状态高32.3%。在故障识别方法的对比中,支持向量机算法的识别准确率为91.17%,而贝叶斯知识识别算法的识别准确率高达95.89%,特异性为97.02%。从而证明了该方法在轨道交通运维中的优越性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Analysis of Rail Transit Operation and Maintenance Fault Recognition Considering Bayesian Knowledge Recognition Algorithm

In the context of the development of high-speed railways, the management of rail transit operation and maintenance is an important task for the daily operation of trains. At present, train scheduling is the most common fault manifestation in rail transit systems. The detection and identification of fault sources during scheduling are uncertain and subject to interference from subjective and objective factors. The present study employs statistical analysis to examine the occurrence of fault events in the train scheduling structure and operation process. The study integrates Bayesian network structure and related algorithms to calculate the occurrence and diagnosis of faults in the operation and maintenance process. A comparative analysis of the probability analysis and identification methods of fault occurrence revealed that the posterior probability of fault events at network nodes was the highest at 90.34%, which was 32.3% higher than the prior knowledge state. In comparing fault recognition methods, the recognition accuracy of the support vector machine algorithm was 91.17%, while the proposed Bayesian knowledge recognition algorithm was as high as 95.89%, with a specificity of 97.02%. Therefore, the superiority of its method in rail transit operation and maintenance has been proven.

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