信息传播和行为反应对流行病动态的影响:多层网络分析

IF 8.8 3区 医学 Q1 Medicine
Congjie Shi , Silvio C. Ferreira , Hugo P. Maia , Seyed M. Moghadas
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引用次数: 0

摘要

网络模型熟练地捕捉了个体互动中的异质性,使它们非常适合于描述广泛的现实世界和虚拟联系,包括信息扩散、行为趋势和疾病动态波动。然而,在检查物理和虚拟相互作用之间的相互作用以及信息传播和行为反应对疾病传播的影响的现有研究中存在显着的方法差距。我们构建了一个三层(信息、认知和流行)网络模型,以调查戴口罩或保持社会距离等保护行为的采用受到错误信息传播和纠正的影响。我们研究了影响信息传播速度的五个关键事件:(i)谣言传播,(ii)信息压制,(iii)传播错误信息的兴趣重燃,(iv)错误信息的纠正,以及(v)纠正后的死灰复燃。我们发现,采用基于信息的保护行为比采用邻里互动的保护行为更有效地缓解疾病传播。具体来说,我们的研究结果表明,警告和教育个人在信息网络中反击错误信息,是遏制疾病传播的一种更有效的策略,而不是将八卦传播者从网络中屏蔽出去。我们的研究对制定策略以减轻错误信息的影响和增强疾病暴发期间的保护性行为反应具有实际意义。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Impact of information dissemination and behavioural responses on epidemic dynamics: A multi-layer network analysis
Network models adeptly capture heterogeneities in individual interactions, making them well-suited for describing a wide range of real-world and virtual connections, including information diffusion, behavioural tendencies, and disease dynamic fluctuations. However, there is a notable methodological gap in existing studies examining the interplay between physical and virtual interactions and the impact of information dissemination and behavioural responses on disease propagation. We constructed a three-layer (information, cognition, and epidemic) network model to investigate the adoption of protective behaviours, such as wearing masks or practising social distancing, influenced by the diffusion and correction of misinformation. We examined five key events influencing the rate of information spread: (i) rumour transmission, (ii) information suppression, (iii) renewed interest in spreading misinformation, (iv) correction of misinformation, and (v) relapse to a stifler state after correction. We found that adopting information-based protection behaviours is more effective in mitigating disease spread than protection adoption induced by neighbourhood interactions. Specifically, our results show that warning and educating individuals to counter misinformation within the information network is a more effective strategy for curbing disease spread than suspending gossip spreaders from the network. Our study has practical implications for developing strategies to mitigate the impact of misinformation and enhance protective behavioural responses during disease outbreaks.
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来源期刊
Infectious Disease Modelling
Infectious Disease Modelling Mathematics-Applied Mathematics
CiteScore
17.00
自引率
3.40%
发文量
73
审稿时长
17 weeks
期刊介绍: Infectious Disease Modelling is an open access journal that undergoes peer-review. Its main objective is to facilitate research that combines mathematical modelling, retrieval and analysis of infection disease data, and public health decision support. The journal actively encourages original research that improves this interface, as well as review articles that highlight innovative methodologies relevant to data collection, informatics, and policy making in the field of public health.
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