Enhui Zhao , Ning Wang , Shibo Cui , Rui Zhao , Yongping Yu
{"title":"基于属性依赖驱动的森林火灾危险因素识别方法及其耦合关系","authors":"Enhui Zhao , Ning Wang , Shibo Cui , Rui Zhao , Yongping Yu","doi":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105529","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Identifying forest fire risk factors and their coupling relationships is crucial for revealing the mechanism of fire occurrence and assessing risks. However, previous studies on forest fire risk factors often ignore the differences and coupling effects between risk factors, resulting in inaccurate risk prediction. Given this, this study introduces the attribute dependence of fuzzy rough set into forest fires and constructs a new method to identify key risk factors and measure their coupling effects. Taking the forest fire risk in the Thompson area of Canada from 1984 to 2023 as the research object, the influence of each risk factor on forest fire is quantified by the attribute dependence function. Then, according to the influence degree of each risk factor, the weighted processing is carried out, and the coupling effect of risk factors is measured by combining the overlapping idea of fuzzy mutual information. The results show that climate factors have a significant impact on forest fires, while topographic factors, vegetation factors, and human factors are relatively weak. The coupling effect of topographic factors, vegetation factors, and human factors is also weak, but the combination of climate factors and topographic factors, vegetation factors, and human factors significantly enhances its influence.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":13915,"journal":{"name":"International journal of disaster risk reduction","volume":"125 ","pages":"Article 105529"},"PeriodicalIF":4.2000,"publicationDate":"2025-05-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Identification method of forest fire risk factors and their coupling relationship driven by attribute dependence\",\"authors\":\"Enhui Zhao , Ning Wang , Shibo Cui , Rui Zhao , Yongping Yu\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105529\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><div>Identifying forest fire risk factors and their coupling relationships is crucial for revealing the mechanism of fire occurrence and assessing risks. However, previous studies on forest fire risk factors often ignore the differences and coupling effects between risk factors, resulting in inaccurate risk prediction. Given this, this study introduces the attribute dependence of fuzzy rough set into forest fires and constructs a new method to identify key risk factors and measure their coupling effects. Taking the forest fire risk in the Thompson area of Canada from 1984 to 2023 as the research object, the influence of each risk factor on forest fire is quantified by the attribute dependence function. Then, according to the influence degree of each risk factor, the weighted processing is carried out, and the coupling effect of risk factors is measured by combining the overlapping idea of fuzzy mutual information. The results show that climate factors have a significant impact on forest fires, while topographic factors, vegetation factors, and human factors are relatively weak. The coupling effect of topographic factors, vegetation factors, and human factors is also weak, but the combination of climate factors and topographic factors, vegetation factors, and human factors significantly enhances its influence.</div></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":13915,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"International journal of disaster risk reduction\",\"volume\":\"125 \",\"pages\":\"Article 105529\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":4.2000,\"publicationDate\":\"2025-05-12\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"International journal of disaster risk reduction\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"89\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S221242092500353X\",\"RegionNum\":1,\"RegionCategory\":\"地球科学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"International journal of disaster risk reduction","FirstCategoryId":"89","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S221242092500353X","RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY","Score":null,"Total":0}
Identification method of forest fire risk factors and their coupling relationship driven by attribute dependence
Identifying forest fire risk factors and their coupling relationships is crucial for revealing the mechanism of fire occurrence and assessing risks. However, previous studies on forest fire risk factors often ignore the differences and coupling effects between risk factors, resulting in inaccurate risk prediction. Given this, this study introduces the attribute dependence of fuzzy rough set into forest fires and constructs a new method to identify key risk factors and measure their coupling effects. Taking the forest fire risk in the Thompson area of Canada from 1984 to 2023 as the research object, the influence of each risk factor on forest fire is quantified by the attribute dependence function. Then, according to the influence degree of each risk factor, the weighted processing is carried out, and the coupling effect of risk factors is measured by combining the overlapping idea of fuzzy mutual information. The results show that climate factors have a significant impact on forest fires, while topographic factors, vegetation factors, and human factors are relatively weak. The coupling effect of topographic factors, vegetation factors, and human factors is also weak, but the combination of climate factors and topographic factors, vegetation factors, and human factors significantly enhances its influence.
期刊介绍:
The International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction (IJDRR) is the journal for researchers, policymakers and practitioners across diverse disciplines: earth sciences and their implications; environmental sciences; engineering; urban studies; geography; and the social sciences. IJDRR publishes fundamental and applied research, critical reviews, policy papers and case studies with a particular focus on multi-disciplinary research that aims to reduce the impact of natural, technological, social and intentional disasters. IJDRR stimulates exchange of ideas and knowledge transfer on disaster research, mitigation, adaptation, prevention and risk reduction at all geographical scales: local, national and international.
Key topics:-
-multifaceted disaster and cascading disasters
-the development of disaster risk reduction strategies and techniques
-discussion and development of effective warning and educational systems for risk management at all levels
-disasters associated with climate change
-vulnerability analysis and vulnerability trends
-emerging risks
-resilience against disasters.
The journal particularly encourages papers that approach risk from a multi-disciplinary perspective.