基于决策树和大型语言模型的风力强度分类混合方法

IF 9 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS
Tahir Cetin Akinci , H. Selcuk Nogay , Miroslav Penchev , Alfredo A. Martinez-Morales , Arun Raju
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文提出了一种基于机器学习(ML)的风电密度分类方法,以开发一种能够平衡高精度和有效风能利用的可解释性的模型。与威布尔分布和经典ML模型等传统方法相比,该模型取得了更高的精度,证实了DT-LLM混合方法的优越性。该数据集是风速、温度、气压、空气密度等气象参数的日平均值,将综合分析风力密度的影响因素。这些气象数据以结构化的方式进行预处理,以创建用作DT模型输入的特征。根据ROC曲线、混淆矩阵和其他指标评估他们的表现。LLM帮助计算和解释Shapley值,增强了模型的可解释性。主要发现包括确定离地面50米的风速(DAWS50)对模型性能至关重要。本研究将提供一个高性能、可解释的框架,不仅有助于克服传统模型在风能密度分类和解释方面的局限性,还有助于提高其在决策中的适用性。获得的结果将更有效地改进可再生能源建模的过程,并进一步指导研究人员朝着这一方向更好地发展。据我们所知,这是第一个将决策树和大型语言模型结合起来进行WPD分类的研究,在模型准确性和可解释性之间提供了一种新的平衡。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
A hybrid approach to wind power intensity classification using decision trees and large language models
This paper proposes a Machine Learning (ML) based classification for wind power density to develop a model that can balance high accuracy with explainability for effective wind energy utilization. The proposed model achieved higher accuracy compared to traditional methods such as Weibull distribution and classical ML models, confirming the superiority of the DT–LLM hybrid approach. The dataset is the daily average of meteorological parameters, including wind speed, temperature, pressure, and air density, that will comprehensively analyze the factors of wind power density. These meteorological data were preprocessed in a structured manner to create features for use as inputs to the DT models. Their performances were evaluated based on the ROC curve, Confusion Matrix, and other metrics. LLM helped calculate and interpret Shapley values, which enhanced the model's explainability. The main findings include identifying wind speed at 50 m above ground (DAWS50) as crucial for model performance. This study will provide a high-performance, interpretable framework that will help overcome the limitations of traditional models in not only classifying wind power density and explaining it to enhance its applicability in decision-making. The obtained results will improve the process of modeling renewable energy more effectively and further guide researchers toward a better vision in this direction. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first study to combine Decision Trees and Large Language Models for WPD classification, providing a novel balance between model accuracy and interpretability.
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来源期刊
Renewable Energy
Renewable Energy 工程技术-能源与燃料
CiteScore
18.40
自引率
9.20%
发文量
1955
审稿时长
6.6 months
期刊介绍: Renewable Energy journal is dedicated to advancing knowledge and disseminating insights on various topics and technologies within renewable energy systems and components. Our mission is to support researchers, engineers, economists, manufacturers, NGOs, associations, and societies in staying updated on new developments in their respective fields and applying alternative energy solutions to current practices. As an international, multidisciplinary journal in renewable energy engineering and research, we strive to be a premier peer-reviewed platform and a trusted source of original research and reviews in the field of renewable energy. Join us in our endeavor to drive innovation and progress in sustainable energy solutions.
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