提高AHP客观性,使太阳能发电场选址更可靠

IF 3.5 3区 工程技术 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS
A. E. Dinçer, A. Demir, K. Yılmaz
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引用次数: 0

摘要

层次分析法(AHP)是一种在不同研究领域进行可靠决策的常用决策方法。虽然传统的层次分析法在数学上保证了结果的一致性,但这些结果的可靠性取决于专家的表现。虽然AHP最初是针对主观相关标准提出的,但也可能存在额外的客观相关标准,或者对一些标准的最终关系达成共识。为了解决这些客观关系和/或共识,本研究提出了优化层次分析法(AHP-OH)。该方法通过满足客观关系和/或标准间关系的共识来提高结果的可靠性。应用AHP-OH方法在土耳其科尼亚省选择最佳光伏(PV)农场位置,该地区具有不同的地形和太阳辐射水平。该研究结合了地理信息系统来分析标准,如太阳辐射率、土地利用、坡度、靠近道路和输电线路以及限制区域。结果表明,科尼亚地区有2.56%的地形适合发展光伏电站,有19.34%的地形适合发展光伏电站,共确定了5个高度适宜区。值得注意的是,现有光伏发电场的位置与确定的合适区域密切相关,验证了AHP-OH方法的有效性。本研究强调了决策方法客观性的重要性,并提出了AHP- oh来增强传统AHP方法的客观性。通过为空间决策支持系统提供系统和客观的框架,AHP-OH为可再生能源领域的决策者和开发商提供了显著的进步。这种方法今后的应用可以扩展到其他区域和可再生能源,促进可持续能源发展的全球努力。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

Enhanced Objectivity of AHP for More Reliable Solar Farm Site Selection

Enhanced Objectivity of AHP for More Reliable Solar Farm Site Selection

The analytic hierarchy process (AHP) is a popular decision-making method for reliable decisions in different areas of study. Although the conventional AHP method mathematically ensures the consistency of results, the reliability of these results depends on the expert manifests. While AHP was originally proposed for subjectively relatable criteria, there may also be additional objectively relatable criteria or a consensus about the final relation of some couple of criteria. To address these objective relations and/or consensuses, this study proposes the analytic hierarchy process with optimized hierarchy (AHP-OH). This method enhances the reliability of results by satisfying objective relations and/or consensuses about relations between criteria. The AHP-OH methodology was applied to select optimal photovoltaic (PV) farm locations in Konya Province, Turkey, a region characterized by diverse terrain and solar radiation levels. The study incorporated geographic information systems to analyze criteria, such as solar radiation rate, land use, slope, proximity to roads and transmission lines, and restricted areas. Results demonstrated that 2.56% of Konya's terrain is highly (80%–100%) suitable and 19.34% of it has moderately high (60%–80%) suitability for PV farm development, with five highly suitable regions identified. Notably, the locations of existing PV farms aligned closely with the identified suitable zones, validating the efficacy of the AHP-OH approach. This research underscores the importance of objectivity of decision-making methods and proposes AHP-OH to enhance the objectivity of the conventional AHP method. By providing a systematic and objective framework for spatial decision support systems, AHP-OH offers significant advancements for policymakers and developers in the renewable energy sector. Future applications of this methodology can extend to other regions and renewable energy sources, contributing to global efforts in sustainable energy development.

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来源期刊
Energy Science & Engineering
Energy Science & Engineering Engineering-Safety, Risk, Reliability and Quality
CiteScore
6.80
自引率
7.90%
发文量
298
审稿时长
11 weeks
期刊介绍: Energy Science & Engineering is a peer reviewed, open access journal dedicated to fundamental and applied research on energy and supply and use. Published as a co-operative venture of Wiley and SCI (Society of Chemical Industry), the journal offers authors a fast route to publication and the ability to share their research with the widest possible audience of scientists, professionals and other interested people across the globe. Securing an affordable and low carbon energy supply is a critical challenge of the 21st century and the solutions will require collaboration between scientists and engineers worldwide. This new journal aims to facilitate collaboration and spark innovation in energy research and development. Due to the importance of this topic to society and economic development the journal will give priority to quality research papers that are accessible to a broad readership and discuss sustainable, state-of-the art approaches to shaping the future of energy. This multidisciplinary journal will appeal to all researchers and professionals working in any area of energy in academia, industry or government, including scientists, engineers, consultants, policy-makers, government officials, economists and corporate organisations.
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