{"title":"孤岛微型水能系统经济调度的机器学习模型","authors":"Nazia Raza , Javad Khazaei , Faegheh Moazeni","doi":"10.1016/j.enconman.2025.119827","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The economic operation of interdependent water-energy infrastructure is crucial for accommodating an increasing population and enhancing operational and economic stability. Real-time resolution of this issue is challenging due to numerous decision variables and constraints, making it a nonlinear and non-convex problem. Traditional numerical solutions require significant computational resources, especially for large-scale systems. This paper introduces a novel machine learning-based approach to solve the combined economic dispatch problem of an islanded water-energy microgrid. Three machine learning models are proposed: multilayer perceptron, random forest, and support vector machines. These models are trained using datasets obtained by solving the mixed integer nonlinear programming framework of integrated water-energy systems. Findings reveal that the random forest model excels in accuracy, with mean squared errors in the order of <span><math><mrow><mi>O</mi><mrow><mo>(</mo><mn>1</mn><msup><mrow><mn>0</mn></mrow><mrow><mo>−</mo><mn>3</mn></mrow></msup><mo>)</mo></mrow></mrow></math></span>. Additionally, the model significantly outperforms traditional methods in computational efficiency, achieving a runtime less than a microsecond. The fastest model, multilayer perceptron, achieves a runtime reduction of 99.99%, showcasing substantial efficiency gains. These results demonstrate the feasibility of using machine learning models for minute-based economic dispatch in real-time operations, marking a significant advancement in managing islanded micro water-energy systems.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":11664,"journal":{"name":"Energy Conversion and Management","volume":"336 ","pages":"Article 119827"},"PeriodicalIF":10.9000,"publicationDate":"2025-05-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Machine learning models for the economic dispatch of islanded micro water-energy systems\",\"authors\":\"Nazia Raza , Javad Khazaei , Faegheh Moazeni\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.enconman.2025.119827\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><div>The economic operation of interdependent water-energy infrastructure is crucial for accommodating an increasing population and enhancing operational and economic stability. Real-time resolution of this issue is challenging due to numerous decision variables and constraints, making it a nonlinear and non-convex problem. Traditional numerical solutions require significant computational resources, especially for large-scale systems. This paper introduces a novel machine learning-based approach to solve the combined economic dispatch problem of an islanded water-energy microgrid. Three machine learning models are proposed: multilayer perceptron, random forest, and support vector machines. These models are trained using datasets obtained by solving the mixed integer nonlinear programming framework of integrated water-energy systems. Findings reveal that the random forest model excels in accuracy, with mean squared errors in the order of <span><math><mrow><mi>O</mi><mrow><mo>(</mo><mn>1</mn><msup><mrow><mn>0</mn></mrow><mrow><mo>−</mo><mn>3</mn></mrow></msup><mo>)</mo></mrow></mrow></math></span>. Additionally, the model significantly outperforms traditional methods in computational efficiency, achieving a runtime less than a microsecond. The fastest model, multilayer perceptron, achieves a runtime reduction of 99.99%, showcasing substantial efficiency gains. These results demonstrate the feasibility of using machine learning models for minute-based economic dispatch in real-time operations, marking a significant advancement in managing islanded micro water-energy systems.</div></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":11664,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Energy Conversion and Management\",\"volume\":\"336 \",\"pages\":\"Article 119827\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":10.9000,\"publicationDate\":\"2025-05-08\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Energy Conversion and Management\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"5\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0196890425003504\",\"RegionNum\":1,\"RegionCategory\":\"工程技术\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"ENERGY & FUELS\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Energy Conversion and Management","FirstCategoryId":"5","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0196890425003504","RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"ENERGY & FUELS","Score":null,"Total":0}
Machine learning models for the economic dispatch of islanded micro water-energy systems
The economic operation of interdependent water-energy infrastructure is crucial for accommodating an increasing population and enhancing operational and economic stability. Real-time resolution of this issue is challenging due to numerous decision variables and constraints, making it a nonlinear and non-convex problem. Traditional numerical solutions require significant computational resources, especially for large-scale systems. This paper introduces a novel machine learning-based approach to solve the combined economic dispatch problem of an islanded water-energy microgrid. Three machine learning models are proposed: multilayer perceptron, random forest, and support vector machines. These models are trained using datasets obtained by solving the mixed integer nonlinear programming framework of integrated water-energy systems. Findings reveal that the random forest model excels in accuracy, with mean squared errors in the order of . Additionally, the model significantly outperforms traditional methods in computational efficiency, achieving a runtime less than a microsecond. The fastest model, multilayer perceptron, achieves a runtime reduction of 99.99%, showcasing substantial efficiency gains. These results demonstrate the feasibility of using machine learning models for minute-based economic dispatch in real-time operations, marking a significant advancement in managing islanded micro water-energy systems.
期刊介绍:
The journal Energy Conversion and Management provides a forum for publishing original contributions and comprehensive technical review articles of interdisciplinary and original research on all important energy topics.
The topics considered include energy generation, utilization, conversion, storage, transmission, conservation, management and sustainability. These topics typically involve various types of energy such as mechanical, thermal, nuclear, chemical, electromagnetic, magnetic and electric. These energy types cover all known energy resources, including renewable resources (e.g., solar, bio, hydro, wind, geothermal and ocean energy), fossil fuels and nuclear resources.