{"title":"改进风速预报的综合和火脉冲神经元模型","authors":"Talal Alharbi, Ubaid Ahmed, Abdulelah Alharbi, Anzar Mahmood","doi":"10.1155/er/3098062","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div>\n <p>The widespread integration of renewable energy resources (RERs) is needed for achieving sustainable development goals (SDGs) like affordable and clean energy, climate action and industry, innovation, and infrastructure. Wind energy is a type of RER with huge potential to fulfill the ever-increasing electricity demand of the world. However, the intermittent nature of wind hinders the large-scale integration of wind turbines into the existing power system. The main source of intermittency is due to wind speed (WS), and this intermittency can be overcome by implementing an accurate forecasting model. The traditional WS forecasting models require huge data for improved outcomes and have a high computational time. Therefore, in this proposed study, we present a novel approach that leverages the spiking neurons functionality for improved WS forecasting with reduced computational time. The spiking neurons with the configuration of integrated and fire (I&F) are used to propose a new architecture called the I&F neurons network (IF-NN). The datasets of four different geographical locations of Saudi Arabia are used for simulation purposes, and the performance of IF-NN is compared with state-of-the-art networks. Findings illustrate that for the datasets of Al Jouf and Turaif cities, the proposed model records the improvement of 74.3% and 68.8% in mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) as compared to the recurrent neural network-long short-term memory (RNN-LSTM) technique, which was found to be the second-best performing model for these datasets. Furthermore, the MAPE of IF-NN is 69.9% and 65.9% better than the MAPE of convolutional neural network-LSTM (CNN-LSTM), which gives the second-best forecasting performance among the models used for comparative analysis for Haffer Al Batin and Yanbu datasets. The comparative analysis also illustrates that IF-NN has better computational time as compared to RNN for each dataset because of spiking neurons.</p>\n </div>","PeriodicalId":14051,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Energy Research","volume":"2025 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.3000,"publicationDate":"2025-05-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1155/er/3098062","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Integrated and Fire Spiking Neuron Model for Improved Wind Speed Forecasting\",\"authors\":\"Talal Alharbi, Ubaid Ahmed, Abdulelah Alharbi, Anzar Mahmood\",\"doi\":\"10.1155/er/3098062\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div>\\n <p>The widespread integration of renewable energy resources (RERs) is needed for achieving sustainable development goals (SDGs) like affordable and clean energy, climate action and industry, innovation, and infrastructure. 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Findings illustrate that for the datasets of Al Jouf and Turaif cities, the proposed model records the improvement of 74.3% and 68.8% in mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) as compared to the recurrent neural network-long short-term memory (RNN-LSTM) technique, which was found to be the second-best performing model for these datasets. Furthermore, the MAPE of IF-NN is 69.9% and 65.9% better than the MAPE of convolutional neural network-LSTM (CNN-LSTM), which gives the second-best forecasting performance among the models used for comparative analysis for Haffer Al Batin and Yanbu datasets. 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引用次数: 0
摘要
可再生能源资源的广泛整合是实现可持续发展目标(sdg)的必要条件,如可负担和清洁能源、气候行动和工业、创新和基础设施。风能是一种具有巨大潜力的可再生能源,可以满足世界日益增长的电力需求。然而,风力的间歇性阻碍了风力涡轮机大规模集成到现有的电力系统中。间歇性的主要来源是风速(WS),这种间歇性可以通过实施精确的预报模型来克服。传统的WS预测模型需要大量的数据来改善结果,并且计算时间长。因此,在本研究中,我们提出了一种新的方法,利用尖峰神经元的功能来改进WS预测,减少计算时间。利用集成和火(I&;F)结构的尖峰神经元提出了一种新的结构,称为I&;F神经元网络(IF-NN)。沙特阿拉伯四个不同地理位置的数据集用于模拟目的,并将IF-NN的性能与最先进的网络进行比较。研究结果表明,对于Al Jouf和Turaif城市的数据集,与循环神经网络-长短期记忆(RNN-LSTM)技术相比,所提出的模型的平均绝对百分比误差(MAPE)提高了74.3%和68.8%,RNN-LSTM是这些数据集上表现第二好的模型。此外,IF-NN的MAPE分别比卷积神经网络- lstm (CNN-LSTM)的MAPE高69.9%和65.9%,在用于Haffer Al Batin和Yanbu数据集对比分析的模型中具有第二好的预测性能。对比分析还表明,由于尖峰神经元的存在,与RNN相比,IF-NN在每个数据集上都有更好的计算时间。
Integrated and Fire Spiking Neuron Model for Improved Wind Speed Forecasting
The widespread integration of renewable energy resources (RERs) is needed for achieving sustainable development goals (SDGs) like affordable and clean energy, climate action and industry, innovation, and infrastructure. Wind energy is a type of RER with huge potential to fulfill the ever-increasing electricity demand of the world. However, the intermittent nature of wind hinders the large-scale integration of wind turbines into the existing power system. The main source of intermittency is due to wind speed (WS), and this intermittency can be overcome by implementing an accurate forecasting model. The traditional WS forecasting models require huge data for improved outcomes and have a high computational time. Therefore, in this proposed study, we present a novel approach that leverages the spiking neurons functionality for improved WS forecasting with reduced computational time. The spiking neurons with the configuration of integrated and fire (I&F) are used to propose a new architecture called the I&F neurons network (IF-NN). The datasets of four different geographical locations of Saudi Arabia are used for simulation purposes, and the performance of IF-NN is compared with state-of-the-art networks. Findings illustrate that for the datasets of Al Jouf and Turaif cities, the proposed model records the improvement of 74.3% and 68.8% in mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) as compared to the recurrent neural network-long short-term memory (RNN-LSTM) technique, which was found to be the second-best performing model for these datasets. Furthermore, the MAPE of IF-NN is 69.9% and 65.9% better than the MAPE of convolutional neural network-LSTM (CNN-LSTM), which gives the second-best forecasting performance among the models used for comparative analysis for Haffer Al Batin and Yanbu datasets. The comparative analysis also illustrates that IF-NN has better computational time as compared to RNN for each dataset because of spiking neurons.
期刊介绍:
The International Journal of Energy Research (IJER) is dedicated to providing a multidisciplinary, unique platform for researchers, scientists, engineers, technology developers, planners, and policy makers to present their research results and findings in a compelling manner on novel energy systems and applications. IJER covers the entire spectrum of energy from production to conversion, conservation, management, systems, technologies, etc. We encourage papers submissions aiming at better efficiency, cost improvements, more effective resource use, improved design and analysis, reduced environmental impact, and hence leading to better sustainability.
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