探索美国不同年龄组RSV传播模式

Ke Li, Virginia E Pitzer, Daniel M Weinberger
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摘要

呼吸道合胞病毒(RSV)感染是儿科人群和老年人的一个重要公共卫生问题,在美国(US)季节性冬季暴发。关于各年龄组RSV流行的时间以及各年龄组RSV组内和组间传播的相对贡献知之甚少。在这项研究中,我们分析了2018年至2024年12个州各年龄组的RSV时间和传播情况。我们发现5岁以下儿童出现最早的流行高峰;老年人则是最新的。年龄结构时间序列模型显示,几个年龄组中50%的住院是由于组间传播,但老年人(65岁以上)除外,组内传播占主导地位。我们的研究结果表明,不同的年龄组在美国RSV流行的传播中起着独特的作用,具有年龄特异性的传播模式可以指导更有效的RSV疫苗接种政策。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Exploring RSV transmission patterns in different age groups in the United States
Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) infections are a significant public health concern for pediatric populations and older adults, with seasonal winter outbreaks in the United States (US). Little is known about the timing of RSV epidemics across age groups and the relative contribution of within-group and between-group transmission of RSV in each age group. In this study, we analyzed RSV timing and transmission across age groups in 12 states from 2018 to 2024. We found that children under 5 had the earliest epidemic peaks; the elderly had the latest. An age-structured time series model showed >50% of hospitalizations in several age groups were due to between-group transmission, except in the elderly (above 65 years), where within-group spread dominated. Our findings indicate that distinct age groups play unique roles in propagating RSV epidemics in the US, with age-specific transmission patterns that can guide more effective RSV vaccination policies.
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