气候减缓发展融资是否促进了喀麦隆的可再生能源生产?

Nkwetta Ajong Aquilas , Forbe Hodu Ngangnchi
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引用次数: 0

摘要

巴黎气候条约的一个主要政策成果是直接向发展中国家转移气候资金,以加强可再生能源生产。本研究利用2000年至2021年的数据,考虑了与气候相关的缓解融资是否会推动喀麦隆的非水力发电可再生电力生产。自回归分布滞后边界检验和非对称自回归分布滞后技术用于分析目的,并使用阈值回归和带断点的最小二乘法对结果进行鲁棒检查。研究发现,气候减缓发展融资促进了可再生能源发电,但效果不显著。自回归分布滞后估计的定量结果表明,在短期和长期减排资金分别增加1%后,可再生能源发电量分别增加0.002%和0.003%。此外,具有断点的离散阈值和最小二乘回归结果显示,每增加1%的气候减缓资金,可再生能源发电量分别边际增加0.0007%和0.0009%。气候减缓发展融资与可再生电力生产之间没有明显的因果关系。该研究建议,政府应优先考虑水电以外的其他可再生能源发电,而发达国家应增加对减缓气候变化资金的财政贡献。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Does climate mitigation development finance advance energy production from renewable sources in Cameroon?
A major policy outcome of the Paris climate treaty is the direct transfer of climate funds to developing countries to enhance renewable energy production. This study considers whether climate-related mitigation finance advances non-hydroelectric power renewable electricity production in Cameroon, with data from 2000 to 2021. The Autoregressive Distributed Lag bounds test and asymmetric Autoregressive Distributed Lag techniques were employed for analytical purposes and results robust-checked using threshold regression and least squares with breakpoints. The study finds that climate mitigation development finance promotes renewable electricity production but the effect is insignificant. Quantitative results from Autoregressive Distributed Lag estimates show that renewable electricity production increased by 0.002 ​% and 0.003 ​% following a 1 ​% rise in mitigation finance in the short and long run respectively. Furthermore, the discrete threshold and least squares with breakpoints regression results reveal a marginal increase of 0.0007 ​% and 0.0009 ​% in renewable electricity generation respectively as a result of a 1 ​% increase in climate mitigation finance. No significant causality from climate mitigation development finance to renewable electricity production was found. This study recommends that government should prioritize the production of electricity from other renewable sources apart from hydroelectricity while developed countries should increase their financial contributions towards climate mitigation finance.
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