政治因素对中东和北非国家环境退化的影响有多大?矩分位数法

IF 2.7 Q2 PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION
Ali Celik
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引用次数: 0

摘要

与经济和社会因素相比,政治因素在实现环境可持续性目标方面发挥着重要作用。此外,充分了解政治因素对环境退化的影响,可以通过指导气候政策,对减缓气候变化的步伐作出积极贡献。本研究采用先进的面板数据分析方法,基于环境库兹涅茨曲线(EKC)假设,考察了2001年至2021年期间选定的15个中东和北非(MENA)国家的全球化、民主和政治腐败对生态足迹和物质足迹的影响。实证结果表明:(1)在材料足迹方面,EKC假设在MENA国家成立,即GDP与材料足迹呈倒u型关系(EKC的拐点为83.173.522.697美元),但基于随机效应(RE)估计结果,具有稳健标准误差的生态足迹随GDP单调增加。然而,矩分位数回归(MMQR)估计表明,EKC假设在低分位数的生态足迹方面是有效的;(二)全球化增加了生态足迹和物质足迹,即威胁到环境的可持续性;(三)民主的发展减少了生态足迹和物质足迹,即民主有助于环境的可持续性;(4)政治腐败的增加增加了生态足迹,有趣的是,减少了物质足迹。最终,这些研究结果将为中东和北非国家当局、政策制定者和决策者为防止气候变化而需要制定的紧急行动计划提供合格的贡献。事实上,为防止气候变化而制定的政策应该是多维的。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
How Much Influence Do Political Factors Have on Environmental Degradation in MENA Countries? The Method of Moments Quantile Approach

Compared to economic and social factors, political factors play an important role in achieving environmental sustainability goals. Furthermore, an adequate understanding of the impact of political factors on environmental degradation can contribute positively to slowing the pace of climate change by guiding climate policy. This study examines the role of globalization, democracy, and political corruption on ecological footprint and material footprint based on the Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) hypothesis in the selected 15-Middle East and North Africa (MENA) countries over the period between 2001 and 2021 employing advanced panel data analysis. The empirical findings suggest that (i) the EKC hypothesis is valid in MENA countries in terms of material footprint, that is, GDP has an inverted U-shaped relationship with material footprint (the turning point of the EKC is 83.173.522.697$), but ecological footprint increases monotonically with GDP based on random effects (RE) estimation results with robust standard errors. However, the Method of Moments Quantile Regression (MMQR) estimation revealed that the EKC hypothesis is valid in terms of ecological footprint for lower quantiles; (ii) globalization increases the ecological and material footprints, that is, it threatens environmental sustainability; (iii) the development of democracy decreases the ecological and material footprints, that is, democracy contributes to environmental sustainability; (iv) the increase in political corruption boosts the ecological footprint and, as an interesting result, decreases the material footprint. To the end, the findings will provide a qualified contribution to the emergency action plans that need to be prepared for authorities, policymakers, and decision makers in the MENA countries to prevent climate change. Indeed, policies developed to prevent climate change should be multi-dimensional.

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来源期刊
Journal of Public Affairs
Journal of Public Affairs PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION-
CiteScore
7.10
自引率
3.80%
发文量
41
期刊介绍: The Journal of Public Affairs provides an international forum for refereed papers, case studies and reviews on the latest developments, practice and thinking in government relations, public affairs, and political marketing. The Journal is guided by the twin objectives of publishing submissions of the utmost relevance to the day-to-day practice of communication specialists, and promoting the highest standards of intellectual rigour.
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