揭示气候复杂性:对干旱、温度和降水分析的多重分形方法

IF 2.3 4区 地球科学
Farhang Rahmani
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引用次数: 0

摘要

多重分形分析已成为理解地球现象的重要方法,为具有多尺度变异性的混沌系统提供了独特的见解。这种方法最初来自统计物理学,对于研究地球物理事件(如干旱、温度波动和降雨对水资源的影响)很有价值。多重分形有效地表征了分析这些过程中的不规则和非线性动力学所必需的尺度行为。本文重点介绍了几种重要的多重分形技术,包括多重分形去趋势波动分析(MF-DFA)、广义结构函数分析(GSF)、多重分形高度互相关分析(MF-HXA)、多重分形去趋势互相关分析(MF-DCCA)、多重分形去趋势移动平均互相关分析(MFXDMA)、基于统计矩的多重分形互相关分析(MFSMXA)、多重分形逆距离加权(MIDW)、多重分形逆距离加权(MIDW)等。基于小波的方法(WBM)。这些方法捕捉到地球物理数据中的小波动和大波动,提供了比传统统计方法更细致的表示。通过超越传统的统计,多重分形分析增强了极端天气事件的预测建模,如长期干旱和异常降水模式,预计随着气候变化的频率和强度会增加。本文综述了多重分形方法及其对气候科学的贡献,以及未来的研究方向,重点是干旱、温度和降水。此外,它将复杂的理论框架与实际应用相结合,强调了多重分形模型在推进气候研究中的重要性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Unveiling climate complexity: a multifractal approach to drought, temperature, and precipitation analysis

Multifractal analysis has become a crucial methodology for understanding terrestrial phenomena, offering unique insights into chaotic systems with multi-scale variability. Originally from statistical physics, this approach is valuable for studying geophysical events such as droughts, temperature fluctuations, and rainfall impacts on water resources. Multifractals effectively characterize the scaling behaviors necessary to analyze irregular and nonlinear dynamics in these processes. This paper highlights prominent multifractal techniques, including Multifractal Detrended Fluctuation Analysis (MF-DFA), Generalized Structure Functions (GSF), Multifractal Height Cross-Correlation Analysis (MF-HXA), Multifractal Detrended Cross-Correlation Analysis (MF-DCCA), Multifractal Detrending Moving-Average Cross-Correlation Analysis (MFXDMA), Multifractal Cross-Correlation Analysis Based on Statistical Moments (MFSMXA), Multifractal Inverse Distance Weighting (MIDW), and wavelet-based methods (WBM). These approaches capture both minor and major fluctuations within geophysical data, providing a more nuanced representation than conventional statistical methods. By transcending traditional statistics, multifractal analysis enhances predictive modeling for extreme weather events, like prolonged droughts and unusual precipitation patterns, anticipated to increase in frequency and intensity with climate change. This article reviews multifractal methodologies, their contributions to climate science, and potential future research directions, focusing on drought, temperature, and precipitation. Additionally, it bridges complex theoretical frameworks with practical applications, underscoring the significance of multifractal models in advancing climate research.

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来源期刊
Acta Geophysica
Acta Geophysica GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS-
CiteScore
3.80
自引率
13.00%
发文量
251
期刊介绍: Acta Geophysica is open to all kinds of manuscripts including research and review articles, short communications, comments to published papers, letters to the Editor as well as book reviews. Some of the issues are fully devoted to particular topics; we do encourage proposals for such topical issues. We accept submissions from scientists world-wide, offering high scientific and editorial standard and comprehensive treatment of the discussed topics.
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