具有急剧平滑变化的异质性面板数据模型:G7国家绿色增长假说检验

Hasraddin Guliyev
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究考察了七国集团国家可再生能源消费与经济增长之间的复杂关系,强调了可再生能源在应对气候变化和促进向低碳经济转型方面的关键作用。使用异构面板数据模型,该研究通过傅里叶看似无关回归均值组(F-SURMG)估计结合了尖锐和平滑的结构变化。这种方法有效地解决了面板数据分析中的异质性、结构变化和横断面依赖性,确保了稳健和可靠的见解。研究结果显示,可再生能源消费对七国集团国家经济增长的影响存在显著差异。在日本,这种效应是正的,并且在统计上显著,支持绿色增长假说。这一结果归功于日本强大的技术创新传统,这使得日本能够有效地整合和适应可再生能源技术。相反,意大利表现出负面和重大的影响,突出了将可再生能源与其经济框架相结合的挑战。对于加拿大、法国、德国、英国和美国,这种影响在统计上并不显著,这表明可再生能源消费尚未成为这些国家经济增长的主要推动力。该研究强调,七国集团国家向绿色增长的转型面临几个障碍,包括过时的基础设施、不稳定的能源价格、来自化石燃料的竞争以及对可再生技术的投资不足。这些因素会阻碍创新,限制可再生能源的经济贡献。解决这些挑战对于释放可再生能源的全部潜力,促进七国集团国家的可持续经济增长至关重要。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Heterogeneous panel data model with sharp and smooth changes: Testing green growth hypothesis in G7 countries
This study examines the complex relationship between renewable energy consumption and economic growth in G7 countries, emphasizing the critical role of renewable energy in addressing climate change and facilitating the transition to a low-carbon economy. Using heterogeneous panel data models, the study incorporates both sharp and smooth structural changes through the Fourier Seemingly Unrelated Regressions Mean Group (F-SURMG) estimation. This approach effectively addresses heterogeneity, structural changes, and cross-sectional dependency in panel data analysis, ensuring robust and reliable insights. The findings reveal significant variation in the impact of renewable energy consumption on economic growth across the G7 countries. In Japan, the effect is positive and statistically significant, supporting the green growth hypothesis. This outcome is attributed to Japan's strong tradition of technological innovation, which enables effective integration and adaptation of renewable energy technologies. Conversely, Italy exhibits a negative and significant impact, highlighting challenges in aligning renewable energy with its economic framework. For Canada, France, Germany, the UK, and the US, the effect is not statistically significant, suggesting that renewable energy consumption has not yet become a major driver of economic growth in these nations. The study underscores that the transition to green growth in G7 countries faces several obstacles, including outdated infrastructure, volatile energy prices, competition from fossil fuels, and insufficient investment in renewable technologies. These factors can impede innovation and limit the economic contributions of renewable energy. Addressing these challenges is crucial for unlocking the full potential of renewable energy to foster sustainable economic growth across the G7 countries.
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