生育率和城市化

IF 6.6 1区经济学 Q1 URBAN STUDIES

Cities Pub Date : 2025-04-28 DOI:10.1016/j.cities.2025.106002

Sanghoon Lee

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引用次数: 0

摘要

生育率下降一直是许多研究的主题，本研究通过关注高人口密度导致低生育率的进化观点来解决城市化在生育率下降中的作用问题。本文利用固定效应（FE）、可行广义最小二乘（FGLS）、工具变量（IV）、二次元、动态GMM和分样本估计等多种回归技术，对266个国家1960-2019年的面板数据进行了研究，以实证检验城市化对生育率的影响。FE、FGLS和IV回归提供了城市化对生育率有负影响的有力证据，而动态GMM和分裂样本回归部分支持了城市化对生育率的负影响。总体而言，实证结果支持了城市化对生育率的负向影响。

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Fertility and urbanization

Fertility decline has been the subject matter of numerous studies, and this study addresses the issue of the role of urbanization in fertility decline by focusing on the evolutionary view that high population density causes low fertility. Panel data of 266 countries for 1960–2019 are investigated by using various regression techniques such as fixed effects (FE), feasible generalized least squares (FGLS), instrumental variable (IV), quadratic, dynamic GMM, and split-sample estimations to empirically examine the effect of urbanization on fertility. The FE, FGLS, and IV regressions provide strong evidence that urbanization has a negative impact on fertility, while the dynamic GMM and the split-sample regressions partly support the negative effect. Overall, the empirical findings support the negative effect of urbanization on fertility suggested by the evolutionary view.

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来源期刊

Cities URBAN STUDIES-

CiteScore

11.20

自引率

9.00%

发文量

517

期刊介绍： Cities offers a comprehensive range of articles on all aspects of urban policy. It provides an international and interdisciplinary platform for the exchange of ideas and information between urban planners and policy makers from national and local government, non-government organizations, academia and consultancy. The primary aims of the journal are to analyse and assess past and present urban development and management as a reflection of effective, ineffective and non-existent planning policies; and the promotion of the implementation of appropriate urban policies in both the developed and the developing world.