风险因素与清洁能源股票价格的动态相互依存关系研究

IF 10.2 2区 经济学 0 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES
Walid M.A. Ahmed , Mohamed A.E. Sleem
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引用次数: 0

摘要

气候变化带来的日益严峻的挑战使得向清洁能源的转变成为可持续发展的迫切需要。然而,清洁能源行业与更广泛的风险因素密切相关,这些风险因素可能对其增长和稳定产生重大影响。在本研究中,我们研究了清洁能源股票市场与美国五个关键风险因素之间的复杂动态关系:气候政策不确定性、经济政策不确定性、金融压力、地缘政治风险和油价波动。我们的分析使用了新颖的分位数上分位数连通性方法,该方法不仅可以在相同的分位数内,而且可以在各自分布的各个分位数之间更深入地探索变量之间的相互依赖性。我们发现,特别是在极端的市场环境下,清洁能源股存在大量的反向关联,这凸显了清洁能源股对政策不确定性、金融压力和油价变化的脆弱性。与此同时,地缘政治风险与清洁能源市场有着密切的直接关系,尤其是在地缘政治紧张加剧的时期。此外,在重要的政治、经济和气候事件或危机中,两两连通性结构往往会加强。我们的研究结果对投资者和政策制定者都有实际意义。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
On the dynamic interdependence between risk factors and clean energy stock prices
The growing challenges posed by climate change have made the shift to clean energy an urgent necessity for sustainable development. However, the clean energy sector is deeply intertwined with broader risk factors that can significantly impact its growth and stability. In this study, we investigate the complex dynamics between clean energy stock markets and five key US risk factors: climate policy uncertainty, economic policy uncertainty, financial stress, geopolitical risk, and oil price volatility. Our analysis uses the novel quantile-on-quantile connectedness approach, which enables a deeper exploration of the interdependencies between variables not only within the same quantiles but also across various quantiles of their respective distributions. We find substantial inverse connectedness, particularly under extreme market circumstances, underscoring the vulnerability of clean energy stocks to changes in policy uncertainty, financial stress, and oil prices. Geopolitical risk, meanwhile, exhibits a strong direct relationship with clean energy markets, especially in times of heightened geopolitical tension. Additionally, the pairwise connectedness structure tends to intensify throughout paramount political, economic, and climate events or crises. Our findings have practical implications for both investors and policymakers.
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来源期刊
Resources Policy
Resources Policy ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES-
CiteScore
13.40
自引率
23.50%
发文量
602
审稿时长
69 days
期刊介绍: Resources Policy is an international journal focused on the economics and policy aspects of mineral and fossil fuel extraction, production, and utilization. It targets individuals in academia, government, and industry. The journal seeks original research submissions analyzing public policy, economics, social science, geography, and finance in the fields of mining, non-fuel minerals, energy minerals, fossil fuels, and metals. Mineral economics topics covered include mineral market analysis, price analysis, project evaluation, mining and sustainable development, mineral resource rents, resource curse, mineral wealth and corruption, mineral taxation and regulation, strategic minerals and their supply, and the impact of mineral development on local communities and indigenous populations. The journal specifically excludes papers with agriculture, forestry, or fisheries as their primary focus.
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