未来决策和远见的相互作用:来自一个家族企业案例研究的见解

IF 3 3区 管理学 Q1 ECONOMICS
Elena Zehnder , Jan Oliver Schwarz
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引用次数: 0

摘要

虽然远见卓识被认为是支持组织应对未来的原因,但最近的危机突出表明,需要更有效地预测未来。此外,有人认为,在这种情况下概念化的未来不够复杂。在未来创造的标签下,有人提出调查组织内的参与者如何与未来互动。该研究探讨了历史悠久的家族企业在实践中如何构建未来叙事,因为它们在许多经济体中具有巨大的相关性,并且具有长期定位。因此,我们采用了一种未来创造的观点,该观点侧重于塑造首选未来的协作过程。该研究基于对家族企业主要利益相关者的半结构化访谈收集的实证数据。报告的结论是,该公司的未来受到其传统家族身份的强烈影响,创始家族在塑造这种身份方面发挥着关键作用。该公司的未来制定是非正式的,避免了被视为抑制的企业预见流程。尽管看似无结构,但家族企业无意识地遵循着潜在的理论模型。然而,它强调,了解他们对未来的做法是至关重要的家族企业,强调需要进一步探索其影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The interplay of future making and foresight: Insights from a family business case study
Although foresight has been credited with supporting organizations in dealing with the future, recent crises have highlighted the need to anticipate the future more effectively. Moreover, it has been argued that the future conceptualized in this context is not sufficiently complex. Under the label of future making, it has been proposed to investigate how actors within an organization interact with the future. The study explores how long-established family firms construct narratives of the future in practice because of their huge relevance in many economies and their long-term orientation. Therefore, we adopt a future making perspective that focuses on collaborative processes for shaping preferred futures. The research is based on empirical data collected via semi-structured interviews with key stakeholders in a family business. It concludes that the company’s future is strongly influenced by its traditional family identity, with the founding family playing a pivotal role in shaping that identity. The company's future making is informal, avoiding corporate foresight processes that are seen as inhibiting. Despite appearing unstructured, the family business unconsciously follows underlying theoretical models. However, it is emphasized that understanding their approach to future making is critical for family businesses, highlighting the need for further exploration of its implications.
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来源期刊
Futures
Futures Multiple-
CiteScore
6.00
自引率
10.00%
发文量
124
期刊介绍: Futures is an international, refereed, multidisciplinary journal concerned with medium and long-term futures of cultures and societies, science and technology, economics and politics, environment and the planet and individuals and humanity. Covering methods and practices of futures studies, the journal seeks to examine possible and alternative futures of all human endeavours. Futures seeks to promote divergent and pluralistic visions, ideas and opinions about the future. The editors do not necessarily agree with the views expressed in the pages of Futures
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