{"title":"提高风电预测精度:sngf - renn - scso混合方法","authors":"Ramesh Chandra Khamari , Santosh Mani , Rajesh G. Bodkhe , Akhilesh Kumar Singh","doi":"10.1016/j.solener.2025.113513","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Forecasting wind power accurately is essential for optimizing energy management, improving grid stability. However, predicting wind speed and power generation is inherently challenging due to the intermittent and stochastic nature of wind patterns. The proposed hybrid system integrates the Surface Normal Gabor Filter (SNGF), recalling enhanced recurrent neural network (RERNN) and sand cat swarm optimization, named as SNGF-RERNN-SCSO approach. The SNGF efficiently reduces noise and refines wind data, while RERNN accurately predicts future wind speeds. The model’s computational efficiency is further enhanced by SCSO. The system gives an optimal solution with less calculation time by using the proposed technique. Then, the proposed approach is put into practice in the MATLAB platform and its execution is assessed with present strategies like Random Forest Algorithm (RFA), Recurrent Neural Network (RNN) and Giza Pyramid Construction. The proposed SNGF-RERNN-SCSO achieves lowest Mean Absolute Error (MAE) of 0.1 %, Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) of 2%, and Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) of 0.3. Furthermore, the proposed technique accomplishes the highest sensitivity of 98.06% maintaining the fastest execution time of 0.3 s. This emphasizes the higher accuracy and computational efficiency of the model, making it a robust and scalable solution for wind power forecasting.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":428,"journal":{"name":"Solar Energy","volume":"295 ","pages":"Article 113513"},"PeriodicalIF":6.0000,"publicationDate":"2025-04-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Enhancing wind power forecasting accuracy: A hybrid SNGF-RERNN-SCSO approach\",\"authors\":\"Ramesh Chandra Khamari , Santosh Mani , Rajesh G. Bodkhe , Akhilesh Kumar Singh\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.solener.2025.113513\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><div>Forecasting wind power accurately is essential for optimizing energy management, improving grid stability. However, predicting wind speed and power generation is inherently challenging due to the intermittent and stochastic nature of wind patterns. The proposed hybrid system integrates the Surface Normal Gabor Filter (SNGF), recalling enhanced recurrent neural network (RERNN) and sand cat swarm optimization, named as SNGF-RERNN-SCSO approach. The SNGF efficiently reduces noise and refines wind data, while RERNN accurately predicts future wind speeds. The model’s computational efficiency is further enhanced by SCSO. The system gives an optimal solution with less calculation time by using the proposed technique. Then, the proposed approach is put into practice in the MATLAB platform and its execution is assessed with present strategies like Random Forest Algorithm (RFA), Recurrent Neural Network (RNN) and Giza Pyramid Construction. The proposed SNGF-RERNN-SCSO achieves lowest Mean Absolute Error (MAE) of 0.1 %, Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) of 2%, and Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) of 0.3. Furthermore, the proposed technique accomplishes the highest sensitivity of 98.06% maintaining the fastest execution time of 0.3 s. This emphasizes the higher accuracy and computational efficiency of the model, making it a robust and scalable solution for wind power forecasting.</div></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":428,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Solar Energy\",\"volume\":\"295 \",\"pages\":\"Article 113513\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":6.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2025-04-22\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Solar Energy\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"5\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0038092X25002762\",\"RegionNum\":2,\"RegionCategory\":\"工程技术\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q2\",\"JCRName\":\"ENERGY & FUELS\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Solar Energy","FirstCategoryId":"5","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0038092X25002762","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"ENERGY & FUELS","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
摘要
准确预测风力发电对于优化能源管理、提高电网稳定性至关重要。然而,由于风力模式的间歇性和随机性,预测风速和发电量本身就具有挑战性。所提出的混合系统集成了表面正常Gabor滤波器(SNGF),回顾了增强循环神经网络(RERNN)和沙猫群优化,称为SNGF-RERNN- scso方法。SNGF有效地降低了噪音并改进了风数据,而RERNN则准确地预测了未来的风速。SCSO进一步提高了模型的计算效率。利用该方法,系统以较少的计算时间给出了最优解。然后,在MATLAB平台上对该方法进行了实践,并使用随机森林算法(RFA)、递归神经网络(RNN)和吉萨金字塔构建等现有策略对其执行情况进行了评估。所提出的sngf - renn - scso实现了最低的平均绝对误差(MAE)为0.1%,平均绝对百分比误差(MAPE)为2%,均方根误差(RMSE)为0.3。此外,该技术实现了98.06%的最高灵敏度,并保持了0.3 s的最快执行时间。这强调了模型较高的精度和计算效率,使其成为风电预测的鲁棒性和可扩展性解决方案。
Enhancing wind power forecasting accuracy: A hybrid SNGF-RERNN-SCSO approach
Forecasting wind power accurately is essential for optimizing energy management, improving grid stability. However, predicting wind speed and power generation is inherently challenging due to the intermittent and stochastic nature of wind patterns. The proposed hybrid system integrates the Surface Normal Gabor Filter (SNGF), recalling enhanced recurrent neural network (RERNN) and sand cat swarm optimization, named as SNGF-RERNN-SCSO approach. The SNGF efficiently reduces noise and refines wind data, while RERNN accurately predicts future wind speeds. The model’s computational efficiency is further enhanced by SCSO. The system gives an optimal solution with less calculation time by using the proposed technique. Then, the proposed approach is put into practice in the MATLAB platform and its execution is assessed with present strategies like Random Forest Algorithm (RFA), Recurrent Neural Network (RNN) and Giza Pyramid Construction. The proposed SNGF-RERNN-SCSO achieves lowest Mean Absolute Error (MAE) of 0.1 %, Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) of 2%, and Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) of 0.3. Furthermore, the proposed technique accomplishes the highest sensitivity of 98.06% maintaining the fastest execution time of 0.3 s. This emphasizes the higher accuracy and computational efficiency of the model, making it a robust and scalable solution for wind power forecasting.
期刊介绍:
Solar Energy welcomes manuscripts presenting information not previously published in journals on any aspect of solar energy research, development, application, measurement or policy. The term "solar energy" in this context includes the indirect uses such as wind energy and biomass