平流层臭氧消耗促成了近期热带地区类似拉尼娜现象的降温模式

IF 8.5 1区 地球科学 Q1 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES
Yue Dong, Lorenzo M. Polvani, Yen-Ting Hwang, Mark R. England
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引用次数: 0

摘要

尽管全球持续变暖,但在过去的几十年里,热带东太平洋却出现了降温趋势,其原因仍是一个积极研究的领域。越来越多的证据表明,热带海洋表面温度(SST)模式与南大洋的变化之间存在着遥远的联系。利用完全耦合的全球气候模式,我们证明平流层臭氧消耗会产生类似拉尼娜现象的热带海表温度趋势模式,与近期观测结果相似。这种热带响应最初源于中纬度海洋对臭氧驱动的地表风异常的调整,然后通过正的云反馈和风-蒸发-海温反馈在热带地区增强。我们的发现表明,观测到的类似拉尼娜现象的热带海温趋势模式可能部分是由 20 世纪末臭氧洞的形成造成的。这也意味着,未来几十年臭氧的恢复很可能会导致未来观测到的热带海温趋势减弱或逆转。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

Stratospheric ozone depletion has contributed to the recent tropical La Niña-like cooling pattern

Stratospheric ozone depletion has contributed to the recent tropical La Niña-like cooling pattern

Despite the continuous global warming, over the past several decades, the tropical East Pacific has experienced a cooling trend whose origin remains an area of active research. Mounting evidence has linked tropical sea-surface temperature (SST) patterns to changes in the Southern Ocean via remote teleconnections. Using a fully-coupled global climate model, we demonstrate that stratospheric ozone depletion can produce a La Niña-like tropical SST trend pattern resembling recent observations. This tropical response initially arises from mid-latitude ocean adjustments to ozone-driven surface wind anomalies, which then enhance in the tropics via positive cloud feedback and wind-evaporation-SST feedback. Our finding suggests that the observed La Niña-like tropical SST trend pattern may have been, in part, caused by the formation of the ozone hole in the late 20th century. It also implies that ozone recovery in the coming decades will likely contribute to a future weakening or reversal of the observed tropical SST trends.

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来源期刊
npj Climate and Atmospheric Science
npj Climate and Atmospheric Science Earth and Planetary Sciences-Atmospheric Science
CiteScore
8.80
自引率
3.30%
发文量
87
审稿时长
21 weeks
期刊介绍: npj Climate and Atmospheric Science is an open-access journal encompassing the relevant physical, chemical, and biological aspects of atmospheric and climate science. The journal places particular emphasis on regional studies that unveil new insights into specific localities, including examinations of local atmospheric composition, such as aerosols. The range of topics covered by the journal includes climate dynamics, climate variability, weather and climate prediction, climate change, ocean dynamics, weather extremes, air pollution, atmospheric chemistry (including aerosols), the hydrological cycle, and atmosphere–ocean and atmosphere–land interactions. The journal welcomes studies employing a diverse array of methods, including numerical and statistical modeling, the development and application of in situ observational techniques, remote sensing, and the development or evaluation of new reanalyses.
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