一个具有指数依赖增长率的旅游区生命周期模型,用于模拟后停滞阶段

IF 4 Q1 HOSPITALITY, LEISURE, SPORT & TOURISM
M. Rodrigo , I. Ajala , A.K. Irhanida
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引用次数: 0

摘要

旅游业的复原力越来越依赖于健全的卫生基础设施和有效的疾病检测系统,特别是在面临持续的全球卫生挑战时。本研究引入一个修正的旅游区生命周期模型,探讨健康准备与旅游动态之间的相互作用。通过将增长率与世卫组织《国际卫生条例》核心能力指数中的可量化指标(该指数评估对全球卫生标准的遵守情况)联系起来,该模型有效地说明了旅游人口的行为和卫生能力。它强调了停滞后阶段的衰退或复兴趋势,并提供了与五个代表性国家相关的预测性见解。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
A tourism area life cycle model with an index-dependent growth rate for modelling the poststagnation stage
The resilience of the tourism industry is increasingly reliant on robust health infrastructure and effective disease detection systems, particularly in the face of ongoing global health challenges. This study introduces a modified tourism area life cycle model to explore the interplay between health preparedness and tourism dynamics. By linking growth rates to quantifiable indicators from the WHO International Health Regulations core capacity index, which evaluates adherence to global health standards, the model effectively illustrates tourist population behaviours alongside health capacity. It highlights trends of decline or rejuvenation during the poststagnation phase and provides predictive insights relevant to five representative countries.
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来源期刊
Annals of Tourism Research Empirical Insights
Annals of Tourism Research Empirical Insights Social Sciences-Sociology and Political Science
CiteScore
5.30
自引率
0.00%
发文量
44
审稿时长
106 days
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