Jie Zhou MD , Siyao Zhang MM , Jingxia Liu BS , Jiawei Ding MM , Shenli Ren MSc , Tao Zhang MM , Danni Ye MM , Fangshen Xu MM , Zheng Chen MM , Huilin Zheng PhD , Lei Zhang PhD , Yu Zhang MD , Zhenhua Hu MD
{"title":"急性-慢性肝衰竭患者年龄与肝移植预后的关系","authors":"Jie Zhou MD , Siyao Zhang MM , Jingxia Liu BS , Jiawei Ding MM , Shenli Ren MSc , Tao Zhang MM , Danni Ye MM , Fangshen Xu MM , Zheng Chen MM , Huilin Zheng PhD , Lei Zhang PhD , Yu Zhang MD , Zhenhua Hu MD","doi":"10.1016/j.jss.2025.03.013","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Introduction</h3><div>To explore the role of age at listing on outcomes for patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) awaiting liver transplantation (LT).</div></div><div><h3>Materials and methods</h3><div>We assessed adult candidates listed for LT in the Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients database from January 1, 2007 to June 30, 2018. Patients were divided into four groups based on age at listing: I (≤34), II (35-49), III (50-64), and IV (≥65). The ACLF grade was estimated (est-ACLF), and intent-to-treat survival, overall survival (OS), as well as potential predictors for OS was evaluated.</div></div><div><h3>Results</h3><div>Est-ACLF-3 was associated with a higher 30-d cumulative dropout rate and inferior intent-to-treat survival across age groups. No difference was observed in OS among ACLF grades in group I, but significantly inferior OS was observed in higher ACLF grades in groups II-IV. Multivariate analysis showed age (<em>P</em> < 0.001, ref. group I; hazard ratio 0.995 for group II, <em>P</em> = 0.936; 1.196 for group III, <em>P</em> = 0.002; 1.651 for group IV, <em>P</em> < 0.001) and est-ACLF grade (<em>P</em> < 0.001, ref. est-ACLF-0; 1.214 for est-ACLF-1, <em>P</em> < 0.001; 1.246 for est-ACLF-2, <em>P</em> < 0.001; 1.578 for est-ACLF-3, <em>P</em> < 0.001) were independent predictors for OS. Generalized additive model showed different association between age and OS among different ACLF grades.</div></div><div><h3>Conclusions</h3><div>Young patients with high ACLF grades could achieve similar OS compared with those with low grades. Elderly patients with higher ACLF grades were associated with inferior outcomes after LT.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":17030,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Surgical Research","volume":"309 ","pages":"Pages 199-211"},"PeriodicalIF":1.8000,"publicationDate":"2025-04-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"The Association of Age and Liver Transplant Outcomes in Patients With Acute-On-Chronic Liver Failure\",\"authors\":\"Jie Zhou MD , Siyao Zhang MM , Jingxia Liu BS , Jiawei Ding MM , Shenli Ren MSc , Tao Zhang MM , Danni Ye MM , Fangshen Xu MM , Zheng Chen MM , Huilin Zheng PhD , Lei Zhang PhD , Yu Zhang MD , Zhenhua Hu MD\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.jss.2025.03.013\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><h3>Introduction</h3><div>To explore the role of age at listing on outcomes for patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) awaiting liver transplantation (LT).</div></div><div><h3>Materials and methods</h3><div>We assessed adult candidates listed for LT in the Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients database from January 1, 2007 to June 30, 2018. Patients were divided into four groups based on age at listing: I (≤34), II (35-49), III (50-64), and IV (≥65). The ACLF grade was estimated (est-ACLF), and intent-to-treat survival, overall survival (OS), as well as potential predictors for OS was evaluated.</div></div><div><h3>Results</h3><div>Est-ACLF-3 was associated with a higher 30-d cumulative dropout rate and inferior intent-to-treat survival across age groups. No difference was observed in OS among ACLF grades in group I, but significantly inferior OS was observed in higher ACLF grades in groups II-IV. Multivariate analysis showed age (<em>P</em> < 0.001, ref. group I; hazard ratio 0.995 for group II, <em>P</em> = 0.936; 1.196 for group III, <em>P</em> = 0.002; 1.651 for group IV, <em>P</em> < 0.001) and est-ACLF grade (<em>P</em> < 0.001, ref. est-ACLF-0; 1.214 for est-ACLF-1, <em>P</em> < 0.001; 1.246 for est-ACLF-2, <em>P</em> < 0.001; 1.578 for est-ACLF-3, <em>P</em> < 0.001) were independent predictors for OS. Generalized additive model showed different association between age and OS among different ACLF grades.</div></div><div><h3>Conclusions</h3><div>Young patients with high ACLF grades could achieve similar OS compared with those with low grades. Elderly patients with higher ACLF grades were associated with inferior outcomes after LT.</div></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":17030,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Journal of Surgical Research\",\"volume\":\"309 \",\"pages\":\"Pages 199-211\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":1.8000,\"publicationDate\":\"2025-04-22\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Journal of Surgical Research\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"3\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0022480425001349\",\"RegionNum\":3,\"RegionCategory\":\"医学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q2\",\"JCRName\":\"SURGERY\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Journal of Surgical Research","FirstCategoryId":"3","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0022480425001349","RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"SURGERY","Score":null,"Total":0}
The Association of Age and Liver Transplant Outcomes in Patients With Acute-On-Chronic Liver Failure
Introduction
To explore the role of age at listing on outcomes for patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) awaiting liver transplantation (LT).
Materials and methods
We assessed adult candidates listed for LT in the Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients database from January 1, 2007 to June 30, 2018. Patients were divided into four groups based on age at listing: I (≤34), II (35-49), III (50-64), and IV (≥65). The ACLF grade was estimated (est-ACLF), and intent-to-treat survival, overall survival (OS), as well as potential predictors for OS was evaluated.
Results
Est-ACLF-3 was associated with a higher 30-d cumulative dropout rate and inferior intent-to-treat survival across age groups. No difference was observed in OS among ACLF grades in group I, but significantly inferior OS was observed in higher ACLF grades in groups II-IV. Multivariate analysis showed age (P < 0.001, ref. group I; hazard ratio 0.995 for group II, P = 0.936; 1.196 for group III, P = 0.002; 1.651 for group IV, P < 0.001) and est-ACLF grade (P < 0.001, ref. est-ACLF-0; 1.214 for est-ACLF-1, P < 0.001; 1.246 for est-ACLF-2, P < 0.001; 1.578 for est-ACLF-3, P < 0.001) were independent predictors for OS. Generalized additive model showed different association between age and OS among different ACLF grades.
Conclusions
Young patients with high ACLF grades could achieve similar OS compared with those with low grades. Elderly patients with higher ACLF grades were associated with inferior outcomes after LT.
期刊介绍:
The Journal of Surgical Research: Clinical and Laboratory Investigation publishes original articles concerned with clinical and laboratory investigations relevant to surgical practice and teaching. The journal emphasizes reports of clinical investigations or fundamental research bearing directly on surgical management that will be of general interest to a broad range of surgeons and surgical researchers. The articles presented need not have been the products of surgeons or of surgical laboratories.
The Journal of Surgical Research also features review articles and special articles relating to educational, research, or social issues of interest to the academic surgical community.