全球化、物质资本和人力资本与经济增长的关系:来自经合组织的证据

Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance
Muhammad Raihan Uddin, Nafis Sadik, Md. Mominur Rahman
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引用次数: 0

摘要

政策制定者的主要关注点是经济增长,特别是在像孟加拉湾多部门技术合作倡议这样的地区,结构性问题和全球化的影响极大地影响了发展道路。本研究特别关注全球化的调节功能,探讨了物质资本、人力资本和经济增长之间的联系。本文利用 1990 年至 2019 年的面板数据,采用先进的计量经济学方法,包括横截面依赖性、静态性、协整性和完全修正的普通最小二乘法,分析了这三者之间的关系。结果显示了一种复杂的联系:虽然物质资本和人力资本对经济增长有积极的直接影响,但由于孟加拉湾多部门技术经济合作区域经济结构多样,与全球市场的一体化程度不同,全球化对这些关系有消极的调节作用,因此从长远来看,物质资本和人力资本会转化为更强的经济增长动力。动态普通最小二乘法和 ARDL 模型的稳健性检验有助于验证结果。特别是,尽管长期关联性保持不变,但短期关联性却没有显示出明显的影响。这些研究结果对政策具有重要影响,因为它们鼓励孟加拉湾多部门技术经济合作国家的官员将全球化与资本积累政策相匹配,以支持经济的可持续发展。本文为制定将全球可能性纳入地区经济战略的长期发展计划提供了一条途径。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Globalization, physical capital, and human capital nexus with economic growth: evidence from BIMSTEC
Policymakers’ main focus is economic growth, particularly in areas like BIMSTEC where structural problems and globalization’s influences greatly affect paths of development. With special focus on the moderating function of globalization, this study examines the link between physical capital, human capital, and economic growth. The paper analyzes the relationships using advanced econometric methods including cross-sectional dependency, stationarity, cointegration, and fully modified ordinary least squares using panel data from 1990 to 2019. The results show a complicated link: while physical and human capital have positive direct effects on growth, globalization negatively moderates these relationships in BIMSTEC due to the region’s diverse economic structures and different degrees of integration with global markets, so transforming them into stronger growth drivers in the long run. Dynamic ordinary least squares and ARDL models’ robustness testing help to validate the results. Especially, although the associations maintain in the long-run, the short run shows no appreciable influence. These findings have significant consequences for policy since they encourage BIMSTEC nation officials to match globalization with capital accumulation policies in order to support sustainable economic development. This paper provides a route for creating long-term development programs that include worldwide possibilities into regional economic strategy.
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来源期刊
Research in Globalization
Research in Globalization Economics, Econometrics and Finance-Economics, Econometrics and Finance (miscellaneous)
CiteScore
8.00
自引率
0.00%
发文量
31
审稿时长
79 days
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