区域贸易协定的多重成员和撒哈拉以南非洲的区域内贸易动态

IF 3.1 2区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES
Amsalu Dachito Chigeto, Jayamohan M. K.
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引用次数: 0

摘要

近几十年来,重叠区域贸易协定(rta)对贸易的影响引发了相当大的争论。本研究考察了多个区域贸易协定成员对撒哈拉以南非洲(SSA)贸易动态的影响。我们利用泊松伪极大似然估计技术分析了43个SSA国家22年(2000-2021年)的面板数据,发现参与多个rta的国家在SSA区域内促进了双边贸易。此外,获得枢纽地位与增加双边贸易往来呈正相关。我们的分析还证实,源自潜在贸易联系的网络中心性指标与贸易量呈正相关。这些发现表明,加入一个额外的区域贸易协定不仅创造了更多的一体化机会,而且可能有助于减轻出于政治动机的贸易壁垒。此外,参加多个区域贸易协定所带来的市场准入利益似乎超过了与制定原产地规则和冗长的贸易谈判有关的复杂性。为了显著促进SSA内部贸易和促进更深层次的区域一体化,SSA的政策制定者应优先考虑积极谈判和实施rta。此外,区域内贸易战略应优先考虑通过区域贸易协定成员身份系统地确保区域贸易网络中的枢纽地位,以最大限度地提高贸易量并推动全面的区域一体化。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Multiple Memberships in Regional Trade Agreements and Intraregional Trade Dynamics in Sub-Saharan Africa

Over recent decades, the impact of overlapping regional trade agreements (RTAs) on trade has sparked considerable debate. This study examines the effects of multiple RTA memberships on trade dynamics in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). Analyzing panel data from 43 SSA countries over 22 years (2000–2021) using the Poisson-Pseudo Maximum Likelihood estimation technique, we find that countries participating in multiple RTAs engage in enhanced bilateral trade within the SSA region. Furthermore, gaining a hub position is positively associated with increased bilateral trade engagement. Our analysis also confirms that network centrality metrics, derived from potential trade connections, are positively related to trade volume. These findings imply that accession to an additional RTA not only creates more opportunities for integration but may also help mitigate politically motivated trade barriers. Moreover, the market access benefits from participating in multiple RTAs appear to outweigh the complexities associated with establishing rules of origin and lengthy trade negotiations. To significantly boost intra-SSA trade and foster deeper regional integration, policymakers in SSA should prioritize aggressively negotiating and implementing RTAs. Moreover, intraregional trade strategies should prioritize systematically securing hub positions within the regional trade network through RTA membership to maximize trade volumes and drive comprehensive regional integration.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
5.60
自引率
24.10%
发文量
60
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