实验室和现场的财务预测：合格的专业人员vs.聪明的学生

IF 4.3 2区经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE

Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance Pub Date : 2025-04-15 DOI:10.1016/j.jbef.2025.101051

Te Bao , Brice Corgnet , Nobuyuki Hanaki , Katsuhiko Okada , Yohanes E. Riyanto , Jiahua Zhu

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引用次数: 0

摘要

我们比较了金融专业人士（cfa）和大学生在从简单的实验室预测任务到纵向现场预测任务的四项金融预测任务中的表现。尽管学生和专业人士在大多数人工预测任务中的表现相似，但cfa在实地预测方面的表现优于学生。金融专业人士和学生在预测表现上的差异可以用金融素养而不是认知能力来解释。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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Financial forecasting in the lab and the field: Qualified professionals vs. smart students

We compare the performance of financial professionals (CFAs) with university students in four financial forecasting tasks ranging from simple lab prediction tasks to longitudinal field prediction tasks. Although students and professionals performed similarly in the most artificial forecasting tasks, CFAs outperformed students in the field predictions. Differences in forecasting performance between finance professionals and students were explained by financial literacy, not cognitive ability.

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来源期刊

Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance BUSINESS, FINANCE-

CiteScore

13.20

自引率

6.10%

发文量

审稿时长

69 days

期刊介绍： Behavioral and Experimental Finance represent lenses and approaches through which we can view financial decision-making. The aim of the journal is to publish high quality research in all fields of finance, where such research is carried out with a behavioral perspective and / or is carried out via experimental methods. It is open to but not limited to papers which cover investigations of biases, the role of various neurological markers in financial decision making, national and organizational culture as it impacts financial decision making, sentiment and asset pricing, the design and implementation of experiments to investigate financial decision making and trading, methodological experiments, and natural experiments. Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance welcomes full-length and short letter papers in the area of behavioral finance and experimental finance. The focus is on rapid dissemination of high-impact research in these areas.