基于经验的选择模型(EBCM):制定,识别,行为洞察和福祉评估

IF 2.8 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS
Bastian Henriquez-Jara , C. Angelo Guevara
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引用次数: 0

摘要

基于经验的选择模型(EBCM)描述了选择过程中的基本学习过程,其中主要的学习单位是即时效用:一种享乐主义瞬间感受的代表。它融合了卡尼曼(Kahneman 等人,1997 年)的经验效用概念和综合选择与潜变量(ICLV)框架,并借鉴了当前使用生理信号测量心理状态的知识。EBCM 使我们能够将选择建模为所学属性描述信息和过去选择的享乐体验的函数,并获得可用于分析主观幸福感 (SWB) 的体验测量值。在本文中,我们首先将该模型作为一个马尔可夫学习过程来实现,在该过程中,个体使用记忆效用以一定的学习率更新决策效用,同时使用基于实例的学习(IBL)方法汇总即时效用。我们通过蒙特卡罗模拟讨论了规范和识别问题。此外,我们还利用数值实验来说明这一框架如何让我们捕捉到具有挑战性的行为现象,如习惯行为和目标导向行为的二元性、热炉效应、现状偏差和追忆效应。然后,我们将讨论这一表述如何有助于分析 SWB。EBCM 有助于评估 SWB,尤其是在消费者理性的传统假设可能不成立的情况下和消费者被俘虏的情况下。最后,我们将讨论新的研究方向。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
An Experience-Based Choice Model (EBCM): Formulation, identification, behavioural insights and well-being assessment
The Experience-Based Choice Model (EBCM) accounts for the underlying learning process within choices, where the main learning unit is the instant utility: a representation of the hedonic momentary feelings. It merges Kahneman’s (Kahneman et al., 1997) notions of experienced utility with the Integrated Choice and Latent Variables (ICLV) framework, drawing on the current knowledge about the use of physiological signals to measure psychological states. EBCM allows us to model choices as a function of the learnt descriptive information of attributes and the hedonic experiences from past choices and to obtain a measure of the experience which can be used to analyse Subjective Well-Being (SWB). In this article, we first implement the model as a Markovian learning process in which the individual uses the remembered utility to update the decision utility at a certain learning rate while aggregating the instant utilities using an Instance-Based Learning (IBL) approach. We discuss specification and identification issues with Monte Carlo simulations. Besides, we use numerical experiments to show how this framework allows us to capture challenging behavioural phenomena such as the duality of habitual and goal-directed behaviour, the hot stove effect, the status quo bias, and the recency effect. Then, we discuss how this formulation contributes to the analysis of SWB. EBCM can help to assess SWB, particularly in situations where traditional assumptions of consumer rationality may not hold and when consumers are captive. Finally, new lines of research are discussed.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
4.10
自引率
12.50%
发文量
31
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