{"title":"使用基于代理的建模和基于计算机视觉的损害评估的龙卷风影响社区的复原力分析和公平恢复框架","authors":"Abdullah M. Braik , Xu Han , Maria Koliou","doi":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105427","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper proposes a framework integrating agent-based modeling (ABM), remote sensing, and deep learning (DL) to predict long-term recovery in post-tornado scenarios. The concept of equitable recovery is considered in the framework, and the effects of economic policies on enhancing community resilience are investigated. First, computer vision techniques using DL and remote sensing post-tornado images are employed for rapid, immediate, and accurate damage assessment of buildings. The post-disaster building damage assessment results are then used to determine the Enhanced Fujita (EF) tornado map. Subsequently, the damage states (DSs) of buildings and the EF map serve as inputs for the initial conditions of the post-disaster recovery analysis. The long-term recovery is simulated using ABM, which utilizes various loss, recovery, and socioeconomic predictive models. The Gini index estimates the inequality in the recovery processes among different socioeconomic groups, leading to a novel equitable resilience measure. Hence, the framework enables the incorporation of various hazard mitigation policies and facilitates decision-making for efficient restoration and equitable community resilience. The framework is applied to the Joplin testbed, subjected to the 2011 Joplin tornado, to demonstrate its efficiency and suitability for immediate post-disaster assessment and policymaking to enhance community resilience. The results indicate that the proposed framework ensures a more comprehensive and practical resilience analysis than the ABM approach, which relies solely on predictive hazard and fragility analysis.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":13915,"journal":{"name":"International journal of disaster risk reduction","volume":"121 ","pages":"Article 105427"},"PeriodicalIF":4.2000,"publicationDate":"2025-04-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"A framework for resilience analysis and equitable recovery in tornado-impacted communities using agent-based modeling and computer vision-based damage assessment\",\"authors\":\"Abdullah M. Braik , Xu Han , Maria Koliou\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105427\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><div>This paper proposes a framework integrating agent-based modeling (ABM), remote sensing, and deep learning (DL) to predict long-term recovery in post-tornado scenarios. The concept of equitable recovery is considered in the framework, and the effects of economic policies on enhancing community resilience are investigated. First, computer vision techniques using DL and remote sensing post-tornado images are employed for rapid, immediate, and accurate damage assessment of buildings. The post-disaster building damage assessment results are then used to determine the Enhanced Fujita (EF) tornado map. Subsequently, the damage states (DSs) of buildings and the EF map serve as inputs for the initial conditions of the post-disaster recovery analysis. The long-term recovery is simulated using ABM, which utilizes various loss, recovery, and socioeconomic predictive models. The Gini index estimates the inequality in the recovery processes among different socioeconomic groups, leading to a novel equitable resilience measure. Hence, the framework enables the incorporation of various hazard mitigation policies and facilitates decision-making for efficient restoration and equitable community resilience. The framework is applied to the Joplin testbed, subjected to the 2011 Joplin tornado, to demonstrate its efficiency and suitability for immediate post-disaster assessment and policymaking to enhance community resilience. The results indicate that the proposed framework ensures a more comprehensive and practical resilience analysis than the ABM approach, which relies solely on predictive hazard and fragility analysis.</div></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":13915,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"International journal of disaster risk reduction\",\"volume\":\"121 \",\"pages\":\"Article 105427\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":4.2000,\"publicationDate\":\"2025-04-15\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"International journal of disaster risk reduction\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"89\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2212420925002511\",\"RegionNum\":1,\"RegionCategory\":\"地球科学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"International journal of disaster risk reduction","FirstCategoryId":"89","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2212420925002511","RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY","Score":null,"Total":0}
A framework for resilience analysis and equitable recovery in tornado-impacted communities using agent-based modeling and computer vision-based damage assessment
This paper proposes a framework integrating agent-based modeling (ABM), remote sensing, and deep learning (DL) to predict long-term recovery in post-tornado scenarios. The concept of equitable recovery is considered in the framework, and the effects of economic policies on enhancing community resilience are investigated. First, computer vision techniques using DL and remote sensing post-tornado images are employed for rapid, immediate, and accurate damage assessment of buildings. The post-disaster building damage assessment results are then used to determine the Enhanced Fujita (EF) tornado map. Subsequently, the damage states (DSs) of buildings and the EF map serve as inputs for the initial conditions of the post-disaster recovery analysis. The long-term recovery is simulated using ABM, which utilizes various loss, recovery, and socioeconomic predictive models. The Gini index estimates the inequality in the recovery processes among different socioeconomic groups, leading to a novel equitable resilience measure. Hence, the framework enables the incorporation of various hazard mitigation policies and facilitates decision-making for efficient restoration and equitable community resilience. The framework is applied to the Joplin testbed, subjected to the 2011 Joplin tornado, to demonstrate its efficiency and suitability for immediate post-disaster assessment and policymaking to enhance community resilience. The results indicate that the proposed framework ensures a more comprehensive and practical resilience analysis than the ABM approach, which relies solely on predictive hazard and fragility analysis.
期刊介绍:
The International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction (IJDRR) is the journal for researchers, policymakers and practitioners across diverse disciplines: earth sciences and their implications; environmental sciences; engineering; urban studies; geography; and the social sciences. IJDRR publishes fundamental and applied research, critical reviews, policy papers and case studies with a particular focus on multi-disciplinary research that aims to reduce the impact of natural, technological, social and intentional disasters. IJDRR stimulates exchange of ideas and knowledge transfer on disaster research, mitigation, adaptation, prevention and risk reduction at all geographical scales: local, national and international.
Key topics:-
-multifaceted disaster and cascading disasters
-the development of disaster risk reduction strategies and techniques
-discussion and development of effective warning and educational systems for risk management at all levels
-disasters associated with climate change
-vulnerability analysis and vulnerability trends
-emerging risks
-resilience against disasters.
The journal particularly encourages papers that approach risk from a multi-disciplinary perspective.