亚洲冰川变化的区域差异及其对气候变暖的响应

IF 0.7 4区 地球科学 Q4 GEOGRAPHY, PHYSICAL
YongShan Mo , XingDong Li , Min Xu
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在全球变暖的情况下,亚洲冰川加速退缩,质量损失增加。利用世界冰川监测服务(WGMS)的数据,选取亚洲16个代表性冰川,分析了近几十年来冰川质量平衡(GMB)、平衡线高度(ELA)和堆积面积比(AAR)的时空变化。基于结构方程模型和相关分析,评价了冰川变化对气候变化的响应。结果表明,14个冰川出现了质量损失,其中帕隆94号冰川损失严重,退缩明显。而阿布拉莫夫冰川、穆兹塔格塔15号冰川、Chhota Shigri冰川和雅拉冰川的GMB增加,与“喀喇昆仑冰川异常”一致。随着纬度的增加,ELA减小,AAR增大,冰川质量损失的速率和幅度减小。GMB与ELA呈负相关,与AAR呈正相关,其中Vodopaniy 125号冰川对GMB变化的敏感性最高。GMB波动受能量(地表净太阳辐射、气温)和降水的影响。帕龙94号冰川的显著消融是由于气温的升高。从西向东,能量对GMB的负作用逐渐减弱,其中正降水对雅拉冰川的影响尤为明显。由于气候因素的影响,Chhota Shigri、Djankuat和Hamaguri Yuki冰川呈现出不同的物质平衡状态。该研究为全面了解亚洲冰川变化及其对气候变化的响应提供了有价值的见解。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Regional differences in glacier changes and responses to climate warming in Asia
Under global warming, Asian glaciers have experienced accelerated retreats and increased mass loss. Utilizing data from the World Glacier Monitoring Service (WGMS), this study selected 16 representative glaciers across Asia to analyse the temporal and spatial changes of glacial mass balance (GMB), equilibrium line altitude (ELA), and accumulation area ratio (AAR) in the past several decades. Based on structural equation modelling and correlation analysis, we evaluated the responses of glacier change to climate change. The results indicated that 14 glaciers experienced mass loss, with the Parlung No. 94 Glacier exhibiting a severe loss and significant retreat. In contrast, the Abramov, Muztag Ata No. 15, Chhota Shigri, and Yala glaciers showed an increase in GMB, consistent with the "Karakoram Glacier anomaly". Additionally, a latitudinal gradient was observed, with ELA decreasing, AAR rising, and the rate and magnitude of glacier mass loss decreasing as latitude increased. GMB was negatively correlated with ELA and positively correlated with AAR, with the Vodopaniy No. 125 Glacier showing the highest sensitivity to GMB variations. GMB fluctuation is influenced by energy (surface net solar radiation, air temperature) and precipitation. The significant decline of the Parlung No. 94 Glacier was ascribed to rising temperature. From west to east in the Himalayas, the negative effects of energy on GMB decreased, with positive precipitation having a particularly large impact on the Yala Glacier. The Chhota Shigri, Djankuat, and Hamaguri Yuki glaciers displayed different states of mass balance due to the influence of climatic factors. This study provides valuable insights into the comprehensive understanding of glacier change in Asia and its responses to climate change.
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