Yanqi Lian , Shamsunnahar Yasmin , Jaeyoung Jay Lee , Md Mazharul Haque
{"title":"考虑车道宽度和密封肩宽同时变化的宽中心线处理前后安全性评价","authors":"Yanqi Lian , Shamsunnahar Yasmin , Jaeyoung Jay Lee , Md Mazharul Haque","doi":"10.1016/j.aap.2025.108049","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Wide Centerline Treatment (WCLT) is typically implemented by simultaneous adjustments to lane widths and sealed shoulder widths to minimize the need for road widening. Studies to date, however, have overlooked these concurrent changes when assessing the safety effectiveness of WCLT, potentially leading to unreliable conclusions. Therefore, this paper aims to assess the safety effectiveness of WCLT while accounting for simultaneous changes in the lane width and sealed shoulder width to provide a more reliable and comprehensive evaluation. A before-after simulation-based Empirical Bayes approach is adopted by using a Panel Random Parameters Negative Binomial model with parameterized overdispersion. Specifically, the study evaluates crash modification factors of WCLT for nine treatment conditions in combinations of lane width and sealed shoulder width changes (increase, decrease, and constant). The results suggest that WCLT with both increased lane width and sealed shoulder width reduces total injury crashes by 74.33%, fatal and serious injury crashes by 73.40%, head-on crashes by 41.16%, and run-off-road crashes by 72.54%. On the other hand, WCLT with both decreased lane width and sealed shoulder width is found to be less effective, with a reduction in total injury crashes by 43.79%, fatal and serious injury crashes by 42.54%, head-on crashes by 60.66% and run-off-road crashes by 0.76%. This study will assist roadway designers in making informed decisions for implementing WCLT.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":6926,"journal":{"name":"Accident; analysis and prevention","volume":"217 ","pages":"Article 108049"},"PeriodicalIF":5.7000,"publicationDate":"2025-04-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"A before-after safety evaluation of wide centerline treatment considering the simultaneous changes in lane width and sealed shoulder width\",\"authors\":\"Yanqi Lian , Shamsunnahar Yasmin , Jaeyoung Jay Lee , Md Mazharul Haque\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.aap.2025.108049\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><div>Wide Centerline Treatment (WCLT) is typically implemented by simultaneous adjustments to lane widths and sealed shoulder widths to minimize the need for road widening. Studies to date, however, have overlooked these concurrent changes when assessing the safety effectiveness of WCLT, potentially leading to unreliable conclusions. Therefore, this paper aims to assess the safety effectiveness of WCLT while accounting for simultaneous changes in the lane width and sealed shoulder width to provide a more reliable and comprehensive evaluation. A before-after simulation-based Empirical Bayes approach is adopted by using a Panel Random Parameters Negative Binomial model with parameterized overdispersion. Specifically, the study evaluates crash modification factors of WCLT for nine treatment conditions in combinations of lane width and sealed shoulder width changes (increase, decrease, and constant). The results suggest that WCLT with both increased lane width and sealed shoulder width reduces total injury crashes by 74.33%, fatal and serious injury crashes by 73.40%, head-on crashes by 41.16%, and run-off-road crashes by 72.54%. On the other hand, WCLT with both decreased lane width and sealed shoulder width is found to be less effective, with a reduction in total injury crashes by 43.79%, fatal and serious injury crashes by 42.54%, head-on crashes by 60.66% and run-off-road crashes by 0.76%. This study will assist roadway designers in making informed decisions for implementing WCLT.</div></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":6926,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Accident; analysis and prevention\",\"volume\":\"217 \",\"pages\":\"Article 108049\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":5.7000,\"publicationDate\":\"2025-04-18\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Accident; analysis and prevention\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"5\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0001457525001356\",\"RegionNum\":1,\"RegionCategory\":\"工程技术\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"ERGONOMICS\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Accident; analysis and prevention","FirstCategoryId":"5","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0001457525001356","RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"ERGONOMICS","Score":null,"Total":0}
A before-after safety evaluation of wide centerline treatment considering the simultaneous changes in lane width and sealed shoulder width
Wide Centerline Treatment (WCLT) is typically implemented by simultaneous adjustments to lane widths and sealed shoulder widths to minimize the need for road widening. Studies to date, however, have overlooked these concurrent changes when assessing the safety effectiveness of WCLT, potentially leading to unreliable conclusions. Therefore, this paper aims to assess the safety effectiveness of WCLT while accounting for simultaneous changes in the lane width and sealed shoulder width to provide a more reliable and comprehensive evaluation. A before-after simulation-based Empirical Bayes approach is adopted by using a Panel Random Parameters Negative Binomial model with parameterized overdispersion. Specifically, the study evaluates crash modification factors of WCLT for nine treatment conditions in combinations of lane width and sealed shoulder width changes (increase, decrease, and constant). The results suggest that WCLT with both increased lane width and sealed shoulder width reduces total injury crashes by 74.33%, fatal and serious injury crashes by 73.40%, head-on crashes by 41.16%, and run-off-road crashes by 72.54%. On the other hand, WCLT with both decreased lane width and sealed shoulder width is found to be less effective, with a reduction in total injury crashes by 43.79%, fatal and serious injury crashes by 42.54%, head-on crashes by 60.66% and run-off-road crashes by 0.76%. This study will assist roadway designers in making informed decisions for implementing WCLT.
期刊介绍:
Accident Analysis & Prevention provides wide coverage of the general areas relating to accidental injury and damage, including the pre-injury and immediate post-injury phases. Published papers deal with medical, legal, economic, educational, behavioral, theoretical or empirical aspects of transportation accidents, as well as with accidents at other sites. Selected topics within the scope of the Journal may include: studies of human, environmental and vehicular factors influencing the occurrence, type and severity of accidents and injury; the design, implementation and evaluation of countermeasures; biomechanics of impact and human tolerance limits to injury; modelling and statistical analysis of accident data; policy, planning and decision-making in safety.