解读尼日利亚埃多州拉沙热暴发动态:流行病学模式、严重程度概况和临床管理的3年研究

Simeon Cadmus , Emmanuel Awosanya , Paul M. Iziomo , Samuel Owoicho , Stephenson B. Ojeifo , Judah Moyin-Jesu , Olalekan Taiwo , Eniola Cadmus , Danny Akhere Asogun , Oyewale Tomori
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摘要

目的尼日利亚是西非拉沙热(LF)流行率最高的国家,而埃多州是高负担地区。本研究描述了江户州LF的流行病学和管理。方法对2021年1月至2023年11月伊鲁阿专科教学医院收治的LF病例进行桌面分析。结果变量为病例结果和严重程度,根据2018年尼日利亚疾病控制和预防中心LF指南进行分类。双变量和逻辑回归分析在α <;0.05。结果10432例疑似病例中,确诊1296例(12.4 %),其中964例(74.4 %)发生在旱季。年龄中位数为26岁(四分位间距15 ~ 40岁),男性687例(53.0 %)。确诊病例呈聚集性分布,三分之一(34.3% %)来自西越津市。年龄较大(校正优势比2.2,95 %可信区间:1.2-4.0)和超过五种症状(校正优势比9.5,95 %可信区间:6.9-13.1)与严重的LF和院内死亡的几率增加相关。住院就诊时间与LF严重程度或预后无关。ISTH在24 小时内确认LF。结论有5种以上症状的患者应优先进行LF治疗,ISTH-LF护理算法是有效的。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Deciphering the dynamics of Lassa fever outbreak in Edo State, Nigeria: A 3-year study of the epidemiologic patterns, severity profiles, and clinical management

Objectives

Nigeria has the highest prevalence of Lassa fever (LF) in West Africa, with Edo State being a high-burden area. This study describes the epidemiology and management of LF in Edo State.

Methods

A desk analysis of LF cases from the Irrua Specialist Teaching Hospital (ISTH) records from January 2021 to November 2023 was conducted. The outcome variables were case outcome and severity, classified using the 2018 Nigeria Centre for Disease Control and Prevention LF guide. Bivariate and logistic regression analyses were conducted at α <0.05.

Results

Of the 10,432 suspected cases, 1296 (12.4 %) were confirmed, with 964 (74.4 %) occurring during the dry season. The median age was 26 (interquartile range 15–40) years, and 687 (53.0 %) were male. The location distribution pattern of the confirmed cases was clustered, with one-third (34.3 %) from Etsako West. Older age (adjusted odds ratio 2.2, 95 % confidence interval: 1.2–4.0) and more than five symptoms (adjusted odds ratio 9.5, 95 % confidence interval: 6.9–13.1) were associated with severe LF and increased odds of in-hospital death. Hospital presentation time was not associated with LF severity or outcomes. LF confirmation at ISTH was within 24 hours.

Conclusions

Older patients with more than five symptoms should be prioritized in LF management, and the ISTH-LF care algorithm is effective.
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